The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs renew their bitter Atlantic Division rivalry as they clash in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference second-round playoff series on Tuesday night at Scotiabank Arena.
The defending champion Panthers enter on a high after dispatching Tampa Bay in five games, while Toronto looks to build on their newfound grit under Craig Berube after eliminating Ottawa in six.
With Florida winning the lone previous playoff meeting in 2023 and holding a 6-3-1 advantage in the last 10 matchups, this series promises high-stakes hockey as both teams aim to establish early momentum.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 63% chance of defeating the Panthers.
Pre-game probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline
Win %
63%
37%

Florida Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs: 63% win probability
- Dominant recent form (WWWWW in last 5 games)
- Superior offensive production (268 goals scored compared to Florida's 252)
- Higher league position (2nd in Eastern Conference with 108 points)
Florida Panthers: 37% win probability
- Inconsistent recent performance (LLWWW with 3 losses in last 5 games)
- Lower points total (98 points compared to Toronto's 108)
- Road disadvantage (visiting a team with better season-long performance)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers preview
The Panthers and Maple Leafs renew their bitter Atlantic Division rivalry Tuesday night in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference second-round playoff series, a rematch of their 2023 meeting where Florida dominated en route to an eventual Stanley Cup championship run.
Craig Berube's Maple Leafs aren't the same old Toronto squad, having dispatched Ottawa behind balanced scoring beyond their Core Four, with unlikely heroes Max Pacioretty, Max Domi, and Simon Benoit delivering clutch goals.
The defending Cup champion Panthers enter with momentum after dismantling Tampa Bay in five games, showcasing their road prowess by winning all three away contests in that series.
Both teams have excelled defensively in the postseason—Toronto ranks fourth allowing just 2.67 goals per game while Florida sits second at 2.40—suggesting a tight-checking affair at Scotiabank Arena.
The goaltending battle pits Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky (.914 career save percentage) against Anthony Stolarz, who's been steady for Toronto with a .917 career mark.
Recent history favors the Panthers with a 6-3-1 edge in their last ten meetings, but the Maple Leafs' newfound grit and physical edge under Berube could make this series far more competitive than their previous playoff encounter.
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