NBA Best Bets Today: Expert NBA Betting Picks for 05/06/2025

Mitchell showed in Game 1 he's willing to shoulder the offensive load for Cleveland, putting up 33 points on 30 field goal attempts. With the injury uncertainty surrounding Darius Garland and other key Cavaliers, expect Mitchell to be even more aggressive in a must-win Game 2.

Despite shooting just 1-for-11 from three-point range in the opener, Mitchell still managed to score efficiently inside the arc. Simple regression suggests his outside shooting should improve, potentially adding several more points to his total.

The Pacers' defense is designed to contain role players while allowing stars to get theirs – a strategy that has worked in their favor as they limit secondary options. This approach typically leads to inflated scoring numbers for primary options like Mitchell.

Historically, Mitchell elevates his game when facing elimination or must-win playoff scenarios. With Cleveland desperate to avoid an 0-2 hole at home, expect Coach J.B. Bickerstaff to design the offense around getting Mitchell favorable matchups and plenty of shot attempts.

The Cavaliers will need Mitchell's scoring more than ever if their injured players are limited. In regular season games where Garland was absent, Mitchell averaged over 32 points per game, showing his ability to take over when needed.