Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 5/6/2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors in Game 2 of their Western Conference Semifinal matchup, with Minnesota looking to capitalize on their home-court advantage and rest advantage after eliminating the Lakers in five games.

The Warriors enter as 7-point underdogs despite winning their last three contests against Minnesota, riding momentum from their seven-game series victory over Houston where Buddy Hield erupted for 33 points.

This showdown features a classic contrast of styles: Minnesota's imposing size advantage that troubled the Lakers versus Golden State's championship-tested veterans who aren't intimidated by hostile playoff environments.

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.

Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Best NBA sportsbook promos

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors preview

The Warriors arrive at Target Center riding high after their Game 7 triumph over Houston, but they'll face a well-rested Timberwolves squad that dismantled the Lakers in just five games.

Minnesota's size advantage proved problematic for LA, with Rudy Gobert's 27-point, 24-rebound performance in the series clincher highlighting what could be a critical matchup edge against the smaller Warriors frontcourt.

While the Timberwolves haven't lost at home since mid-March and boast a defense allowing just 109.3 points per game (5th in the league), Golden State has quietly won eight of their last ten road contests.

Stephen Curry's 24 points per game will need to counter Anthony Edwards' explosive 26.8-point average, but Buddy Hield's emergence could be the x-factor after his 33-point eruption to close out Houston.

The Warriors have taken the last three meetings between these teams, though Minnesota's six days of rest compared to Golden State's hectic schedule might finally tilt the rivalry in the Timberwolves' favor.

Key stats

1

Timberwolves sit 6th in Western Conference with a 49-33 record, showing good form with a WWWLW recent streak

2

Warriors hold 7th position in Western Conference at 48-34, displaying inconsistent form (LWLWL) in recent games

3

Minnesota has a stronger defensive record, allowing 8,962 points compared to Warriors' 9,060 points against

4

Only one game separates these teams in the standings, with Minnesota scoring virtually identical points (9,372) to Golden State (9,331)

Betting on the NBA?