The New York Knicks look to build on their stunning Game 1 victory when they face the Boston Celtics in Wednesday's pivotal Eastern Conference Semifinal matchup at TD Garden.
After erasing a 20-point deficit to steal homecourt advantage with a 108-105 overtime win, Jalen Brunson and the Knicks now face a Celtics squad that shot an abysmal 15-for-60 from three-point range in the opener.
Boston enters as a 10.5-point favorite despite their Game 1 collapse, setting up what could be a defining moment in this increasingly compelling series.
Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Celtics a 58% chance of defeating the Knicks.
Pre-game probabilities
Boston Celtics
Moneyline
Win %
58%
42%
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics: 58% win probability
- Elite win-rate (61-21 record, 2nd best in the Eastern Conference)
- Superior defensive efficiency (8787 points allowed, fewest in the East)
- Strong recent momentum (WWLWW form in last 5 games)
New York Knicks: 42% win probability
- Inconsistent recent performance (WLLLW form showing volatility)
- Defensive vulnerability (9158 points allowed, significantly higher than Boston's 8787)
- Road game disadvantage against a team with 10 more season wins (51-31 vs 61-21)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Boston Celtics | New York Knicks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks preview
The Knicks stunned Boston with a thrilling overtime victory in Game 1, erasing a 20-point deficit to steal home court advantage in this Eastern Conference semifinal matchup.
Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby each poured in 29 points for New York, with Anunoby hitting six crucial three-pointers while the Knicks' perimeter defenders held Boston to a dismal 15-for-60 shooting from beyond the arc.
Despite the heroics from Brunson, who's averaging 31.1 points in these playoffs, Boston remains a heavy 10.5-point favorite heading into Wednesday's critical Game 2, banking on their impressive 20-2 record following losses this season.
The Celtics' star duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown each scored 23 points in the opener, but Brown's 1-for-10 performance from three-point range highlighted Boston's shooting woes.
All eyes will be on Kristaps Porzingis, who was limited to just 13 minutes in Game 1 while battling illness, as his presence could provide the Celtics with a much-needed offensive boost.
History favors a Boston bounce-back at TD Garden, but the Knicks' trio of elite perimeter defenders in Hart, Bridges, and Anunoby have proven they can disrupt the Celtics' three-point attack that fueled their dominant regular season.
Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks form
Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks head to head
Boston Celtics
80%
New York Knicks
20%
May 7, 2025
Boston Celtics
0 : 0
New York Knicks
May 5, 2025
Boston Celtics
105 : 108
New York Knicks
Apr 8, 2025
New York Knicks
117 : 119
Boston Celtics
Feb 23, 2025
Boston Celtics
118 : 105
New York Knicks
Feb 9, 2025
New York Knicks
104 : 131
Boston Celtics
Oct 22, 2024
Boston Celtics
132 : 109
New York Knicks
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