The Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets clash in Game One of their Second Round NHL playoff matchup, with both teams coming off dramatic seven-game series victories where offensive firepower overshadowed defensive struggles.
The Stars ride momentum from their 14-goal explosion in their final three games against Colorado, led by the red-hot trio of Mikko Rantanen, Wyatt Johnston, and Roope Hintz who combined for 12 goals in the opening round.
Meanwhile, the Jets, who posted the NHL's best regular season record, look to rediscover their defensive identity after Connor Hellebuyck—the league's top goaltender during the regular season—struggled uncharacteristically in the first round.
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 51.67% chance of defeating the Jets.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Stars
Moneyline
Win %
51.67%
48.33%
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars: 51.67% win probability
- Elite offensive production (277 goals scored, tied for 3rd in Western Conference)
- Strong overall record (50 wins, 3rd in Western Conference with 106 points)
- Balanced attack (277 goals for and 224 goals against for a +53 goal differential)
Winnipeg Jets: 48.33% win probability
- Recent inconsistency despite top ranking (WLWWW recent form shows vulnerability)
- Pressure of being the top seed (1st place with 116 points creates high expectations)
- Psychological edge may favor Dallas (Stars' offensive firepower matches Jets' 277 goals despite lower standing)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Winnipeg Jets | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars preview
The Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets collide in Game One of their Second Round playoff matchup Wednesday night, with both teams coming off dramatic seven-game series victories that tested their mettle in different ways.
The Stars' high-octane offense that produced 14 goals in their final three games against Colorado will face a Jets squad that struggled defensively in their opening round, surrendering 27 goals despite having Vezina-caliber goaltender Connor Hellebuyck between the pipes.
Dallas hopes to capitalize on the potential return of defenseman Miro Heiskanen to shore up a blue line that yielded 24 goals in seven games, while Jake Oettinger's solid .911 save percentage could prove decisive against Winnipeg's potent attack led by Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele.
The Jets, who earned the NHL's best regular-season record, will lean heavily on their home ice advantage at Canada Life Centre, where their passionate fanbase creates one of hockey's most intimidating atmospheres.
Both teams' first-round offensive explosions—each tallying 21 goals—suggest this could become a high-scoring affair that contrasts sharply with their typically structured regular-season matchups.
With the oddsmakers essentially calling this a coin flip, the series opener may well come down to which team can recover fastest from their grueling first-round battles while rediscovering the defensive discipline that abandoned both squads for stretches in the opening round.
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars form
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Winnipeg Jets
67%
Dallas Stars
33%
Apr 11, 2025
Dallas Stars
0 : 4
Winnipeg Jets
Mar 15, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 1
Dallas Stars
Dec 1, 2024
Dallas Stars
3 : 1
Winnipeg Jets
Nov 9, 2024
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 1
Dallas Stars
Apr 12, 2024
Dallas Stars
0 : 3
Winnipeg Jets
Mar 1, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 1
Winnipeg Jets
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