The Carolina Hurricanes look to build on their narrow 2-1 overtime victory in Game One as they face the Washington Capitals in a pivotal Game Two at Capital One Arena on Thursday night.
Both teams showcased stellar defensive performances in the series opener, with goaltenders Frederik Andersen and Logan Thompson combining for 44 saves on 47 shots.
With the Capitals desperate to even the series on home ice and the Hurricanes aiming to take a commanding 2-0 lead, expect another tight, defensive battle where special teams and scoring efficiency could make all the difference.
Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps a 50.33% chance of defeating the Canes.
Pre-game probabilities
Washington Capitals
Moneyline
Win %
50.33%
49.67%
Carolina Hurricanes
Washington Capitals: 50.33% win probability
- League-leading 111 points demonstrates consistent performance throughout the season (51 wins in 82 games)
- Potent offense with 288 goals scored, ranking among the highest in the Eastern Conference
- Strong home-ice advantage as the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference
Carolina Hurricanes: 49.67% win probability
- Recent struggles with a concerning 1-4 record in their last five games (LLLWL form)
- Lower point total (99) despite similar win count (47) suggests overtime/shootout inefficiency
- Middle-of-the-pack defensive record with 233 goals against compared to Washington's offensive firepower
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Washington Capitals | Carolina Hurricanes | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes preview
The Hurricanes look to build on their narrow Game One victory after stealing home-ice advantage with a 2-1 overtime win in the Eastern Conference Semifinals opener, putting Washington in an early series hole.
Carolina's defensive masterclass held the usually potent Capitals offense to just 14 shots, with Frederik Andersen stopping all but one in a performance that overshadowed their own offensive struggles.
Washington's Logan Thompson was equally impressive with 31 saves on 33 shots, but Dylan Strome—who tallied 9 points in the first round—will need to rediscover his scoring touch if the Capitals hope to even the series.
Both teams have shown they can light the lamp, with Carolina scoring 20 goals in their previous five-game series and Washington notching 18 in their first-round matchup, yet Game One suggested this series might be defined by defensive discipline.
The special teams battle could prove decisive at Capital One Arena, with Washington boasting the NHL's 5th-best power play (23.53%) against Carolina's middling penalty kill.
All eyes will be on the goaltending duel between Andersen (.915 career save percentage) and Thompson, whose stellar regular season has carried into these playoffs despite the Game One setback.
Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes form
Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes head to head
Washington Capitals
33%
Carolina Hurricanes
67%
May 6, 2025
Washington Capitals
1 : 2
Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 10, 2025
Washington Capitals
5 : 4
Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 2, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes
5 : 1
Washington Capitals
Dec 21, 2024
Washington Capitals
3 : 1
Carolina Hurricanes
Nov 3, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes
4 : 2
Washington Capitals
Apr 5, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes
4 : 2
Washington Capitals
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