The Edmonton Oilers look to extend their five-game winning streak and take a commanding 2-0 series lead when they face the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 2 of their Western Conference Semifinal matchup at T-Mobile Arena on Thursday night.
After securing a 4-2 victory in Game 1 behind a three-goal third period, Edmonton's high-powered offense led by Connor McDavid (13 playoff points) aims to continue its postseason surge against a Vegas squad that's struggled defensively in recent home games.
The Golden Knights, who split their last six games, will need stronger defensive play from goaltender Adin Hill (4-3-0, 3.01 GAA) to slow down an Oilers team averaging 4.42 goals per game in these playoffs.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers matchup, our predictive model gives the Oilers a 50.33% chance of defeating the Knights.
Pre-game probabilities
Edmonton Oilers
Moneyline
Win %
50.33%
49.67%
Vegas Golden Knights
Edmonton Oilers: 50.33% win probability
- Explosive offense (277 goals scored, tied for 3rd best in Western Conference)
- Positive momentum (WLWWW recent form shows strong finish)
- Comparable season performance (101 points vs Vegas's 110 despite finishing lower)
Vegas Golden Knights: 49.67% win probability
- Inconsistent recent performance (WLWWL form showing vulnerability down the stretch)
- Defensive concerns (219 goals against compared to Western Conference leader's 191)
- Road advantage neutralizer (Golden Knights finished with 50 wins but home ice may not be enough against Edmonton's offensive firepower)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Vegas Golden Knights | Edmonton Oilers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers preview
The red-hot Edmonton Oilers look to take commanding control of their Western Conference semifinal series as they carry a five-game winning streak into Game 2 against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena Thursday night.
Connor McDavid has been nothing short of spectacular this postseason, already racking up 13 points (2 goals, 11 assists) to lead an Edmonton offense that's averaging a blistering 4.42 goals per game in these playoffs.
Vegas, whose three-game winning streak was snapped in the series opener, will need more production from their offense that's managed just 2.85 goals per game this postseason—well below their regular season average.
The Golden Knights' penalty kill (ranked 26th in the league) faces a significant challenge against Edmonton's power play, which converted on one of their opportunities in Game 1.
Calvin Pickard has been perfect for the Oilers since taking the crease, posting a 5-0 record this postseason, while Vegas netminder Adin Hill (4-3, .876 save percentage) looks to bounce back after surrendering four goals in the opener.
After allowing three third-period goals in Game 1, the defending champion Golden Knights will need to shore up their defense, which has surrendered 11 goals in their last three home games.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers form
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers head to head
Vegas Golden Knights
33%
Edmonton Oilers
67%
May 7, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
2 : 4
Edmonton Oilers
Apr 2, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
2 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
Dec 14, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
6 : 3
Vegas Golden Knights
Dec 4, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights
1 : 0
Edmonton Oilers
Nov 7, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
2 : 4
Vegas Golden Knights
Apr 11, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 1
Vegas Golden Knights
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