With the Winnipeg Jets facing a must-win scenario after falling behind 0-1 in their second-round playoff series, they'll look to leverage home-ice advantage at Canada Life Centre against the Dallas Stars on Friday night.
Game One saw Mikko Rantanen's hat trick power the Stars to a narrow 3-2 victory, despite the Jets' strong defensive efforts in the first and third periods.
Both goaltenders will be under the spotlight as Connor Hellebuyck aims to bounce back from allowing three goals on just 24 shots, while Jake Oettinger looks to maintain his stellar form after stopping 29 of 31 shots in the series opener.
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For today's Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Jets a 62.67% chance of defeating the Stars.
Pre-game probabilities
Winnipeg Jets
Moneyline
Win %
62.67%
37.33%
Dallas Stars
Winnipeg Jets: 62.67% win probability
- League-leading defense (Only 191 goals against, the fewest in the Western Conference)
- Outstanding home ice advantage (56 wins overall, most in the Western Conference)
- Strong recent form (WLWWW in last five games, showing resilience after losses)
Dallas Stars: 37.33% win probability
- Terrible recent form (LLLLL in last five games, suggesting a team in disarray)
- Defensive vulnerability (224 goals against compared to Winnipeg's 191)
- Road game disadvantage (Facing the #1 team in the conference with 116 points versus Dallas' 106)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Winnipeg Jets | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars preview
The pressure mounts on Winnipeg as they look to even the series after a heartbreaking 3-2 loss in Game One where Mikko Rantanen's hat trick proved the difference maker.
Both defenses were stout for long stretches in the opener, with the Jets completely shutting down Dallas in both the first and third periods while Jake Oettinger turned away 29 of 31 shots for the Stars.
Winnipeg's Connor Hellebuyck will be seeking redemption after allowing three goals on just 24 shots, well below his stellar .918 career save percentage.
The special teams battle could prove decisive at Canada Life Centre, with the Jets boasting a devastating 28.9% power play efficiency this season against Dallas' 79.4% penalty kill.
Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele will need to jumpstart a Jets offense that's been prolific all season but managed just two goals in the series opener despite generating quality chances.
The Stars will counter with their balanced attack that's tallied 24 goals this postseason, with Rantanen, Johnston and Hintz forming a dangerous scoring trio that's combined for 15 playoff points already.
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars form
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Winnipeg Jets
67%
Dallas Stars
33%
May 8, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
2 : 3
Dallas Stars
Apr 11, 2025
Dallas Stars
0 : 4
Winnipeg Jets
Mar 15, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 1
Dallas Stars
Dec 1, 2024
Dallas Stars
3 : 1
Winnipeg Jets
Nov 9, 2024
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 1
Dallas Stars
Apr 12, 2024
Dallas Stars
0 : 3
Winnipeg Jets
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