Chicago Fire will look to extend their dominance over Atlanta United when they host The Five Stripes at Soldier Field this weekend, with Dimers' predictive model giving the home side a substantial 47.8% win probability compared to Atlanta's 29.0%.
Chicago enter the match with momentum from their 4-0 US Open Cup triumph over Detroit City, while Atlanta have struggled defensively, conceding in six consecutive matches.
With their head-to-head history favoring Atlanta (3 wins to Chicago's 0), but Chicago's current form suggesting a potential 3-0 victory, this MLS clash promises high stakes and plenty of scoring opportunities.
Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United prediction: who will win?
For today's Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United matchup, our predictive model gives the Fire a 66.5% chance of defeating the United.
Chicago Fire: 66.5% win probability
- Superior offensive output (18 goals scored compared to Atlanta's 12)
- Stronger home field advantage (13 points after 11 games vs Atlanta's 10)
- Better recent momentum (1 win in last 5 matches compared to Atlanta's 0)
Atlanta United: 33.5% win probability
- Poor road form (currently 13th in Eastern Conference with only 10 points)
- Defensive vulnerability (20 goals conceded, 7 more than Chicago)
- Inability to secure wins (only 2 victories in 11 matches played)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United odds
Here are the latest odds as the Chicago Fire host Atlanta United in MLS action on Saturday, May 10.
| Chicago Fire | Atlanta United | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +110 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +220 (via bet365 US) | 280 ( via Caesars Sportsbook) |
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Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United preview
Chicago Fire welcome Atlanta United to Soldier Field with momentum on their side following an emphatic 4-0 US Open Cup victory against Detroit City.
The hosts have been inconsistent in league play but have shown serious firepower with 9 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions.
Atlanta's defensive vulnerabilities continue to be a concern, having conceded in each of their last 6 matches and shipping 12 goals during that stretch.
These teams played to a goalless draw in their most recent meeting back in April, but Chicago's home advantage could prove decisive this time around.
Fire manager Gregg Berhalter will need to navigate injuries to Chase Gasper and David Poreba, while leaning on the attacking trio of Zinckernagel, Cuypers, and Bamba to break down Atlanta's leaky defense.
Miguel Almirón, who scored in Atlanta's recent 1-1 draw with Nashville, remains the primary offensive threat for the visitors who have struggled to find consistency on the road.
Key stats
- 1Chicago Fire (11th place) have won just once in their last 5 games with a DLLDL form, suggesting recent struggles.
- 2Atlanta United sit 13th in the standings with only 2 wins in 11 matches, collecting just 10 points so far this season.
- 3Chicago Fire have scored 18 goals while conceding 22, giving them a -4 goal difference that ranks 11th in the conference.
- 4Atlanta United have struggled defensively, allowing 20 goals (third-worst in the conference) while scoring only 12 times in 11 games.
Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United form
Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United head to head
Chicago Fire
0%
Atlanta United
100%
Apr 28, 2024
Chicago Fire
0 : 0
Atlanta United
Mar 31, 2024
Atlanta United
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
May 21, 2023
Chicago Fire
3 : 3
Atlanta United
Apr 23, 2023
Atlanta United
2 : 1
Chicago Fire
Jul 30, 2022
Chicago Fire
0 : 0
Atlanta United
May 7, 2022
Atlanta United
4 : 1
Chicago Fire
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