NBA Best Bets Today: Expert NBA Betting Picks for 05/10/2025

The opening games at TD Garden saw the Knicks mount incredible comebacks, but Game 3 at Madison Square Garden sets up perfectly for an offensive breakout from both teams.

Boston's offense is due for serious regression after shooting a dismal 36% from the field and just 25% from three-point range in Game 2 – their worst stretch of the season from deep, going just 25-for-100 on threes over the last two games.

The Celtics should emphasize getting into the paint more in Game 3, which will create better outside looks against a Knicks defense that ranks in the middle of the pack defensively.

Meanwhile, New York's offense should get a significant boost playing at home following a Game 2 effort that was below their season standard for most of the contest.

With Jalen Brunson's elite shot-making ability in clutch situations and Boston's desperate need to avoid going down 3-0, expect both teams to push the pace and find their offensive rhythm in what should be an electric atmosphere at MSG.

The Celtics enter Game 3 in a must-win situation after squandering 20-point leads in back-to-back home losses to start this series.

Boston's offense is due for positive regression after shooting an abysmal 36% from the field and just 25% from three-point range in Game 2 – numbers well below their season averages and unsustainable over a full series.

History favors the Celtics in this spot – they've won 12 straight road games after losing as favorites and have covered the spread in 12 consecutive games as road favorites following a loss.

The Knicks, despite their impressive comeback wins, have struggled historically at home against winning teams, losing seven of their last eight home games against opponents with winning records.

This is essentially a season-saving game for Boston, and with their championship aspirations hanging in the balance, expect Tatum, Brown and the Celtics to respond with their most complete performance of the series.

The Timberwolves have seized control of this series after evening things up in Game 2, and now face a Warriors team missing their most crucial player – Stephen Curry – who's sidelined with a hamstring strain.

Golden State's offense looked completely lost trying to find answers without Curry in Game 2, with Steve Kerr desperately cycling through his entire bench by the third quarter looking for offensive production.

Minnesota has proven they can win on the road this postseason (4-1 in their last 5 at Chase Center) and their balanced attack featuring Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle gives them multiple scoring options against a thinned Warriors defense.

The Warriors' offensive rating plummets into the low 90s without Curry on the floor, and while role players typically perform better at home, it won't be enough to overcome the absence of their superstar.

With the Timberwolves' elite defense, improved three-point shooting (16 made threes in Game 2), and 33 assists showing their excellent ball movement, they're positioned perfectly to take command of this series in Game 3.