The Edmonton Oilers aim to extend their scorching six-game playoff winning streak when they host the Vegas Golden Knights in a pivotal Game 3 matchup at Rogers Place on Saturday night.
With Edmonton holding a commanding 2-0 series lead after stealing both games in Vegas, the defending Stanley Cup champions find themselves in desperate need of a road victory to avoid falling into a nearly insurmountable 3-0 hole.
Connor McDavid's Oilers have been an offensive juggernaut during these playoffs, averaging 4.5 goals per game while their special teams advantage could prove decisive against a Golden Knights squad struggling on the penalty kill.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights matchup, our predictive model gives the Oilers a 64% chance of defeating the Knights.
Pre-game probabilities
Edmonton Oilers
Moneyline
Win %
64%
36%
Vegas Golden Knights
Edmonton Oilers: 64% win probability
- Explosive offense (277 goals scored, tied for 3rd best in Western Conference)
- Home ice advantage (48 wins overall despite lower standing than Vegas)
- Positive momentum (WLWWW recent form compared to Vegas' WLWWL)
Vegas Golden Knights: 36% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (219 goals against compared to top teams with fewer)
- Inconsistent recent performance (WLWWL form showing inability to string consecutive wins)
- Road game disadvantage (facing a team that finished 6th with 101 points despite Vegas' 2nd place finish)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Edmonton Oilers | Vegas Golden Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights preview
The red-hot Oilers will try to push Vegas to the brink when they host Game 3 at Rogers Place on Saturday night, now holding a commanding 2-0 series lead after stealing both games on the road.
Edmonton rides a six-game winning streak into this pivotal matchup, with Connor McDavid orchestrating the offense to the tune of 14 points (2 goals, 12 assists) this postseason, while linemate Leon Draisaitl has been equally dominant with 13 points.
Vegas desperately needs to solve Edmonton's high-powered attack that's averaging 4.5 goals per game in these playoffs, with Jack Eichel (1g, 8a) and Mark Stone (4g, 4a) looking to spark a Golden Knights offense that's managed just three goals per game.
Special teams could prove decisive, as Edmonton's power play has been humming at over 23 percent while Vegas has struggled on the penalty kill, ranking 26th league-wide.
The defending Stanley Cup champions face their biggest test of the season, having dropped four of their last seven games and now needing to steal at least one game in Edmonton to keep their repeat hopes alive.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights form
Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights head to head
Edmonton Oilers
67%
Vegas Golden Knights
33%
May 9, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
4 : 5
Edmonton Oilers
May 7, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
2 : 4
Edmonton Oilers
Apr 2, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
2 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
Dec 14, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
6 : 3
Vegas Golden Knights
Dec 4, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights
1 : 0
Edmonton Oilers
Nov 7, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
2 : 4
Vegas Golden Knights
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