The Philadelphia Union host Columbus Crew at Subaru Park in a clash between two of MLS Eastern Conference's most in-form teams, with both sides riding impressive winning streaks into Saturday's matchup.
Jim Curtin's Union have won four straight in all competitions, including three consecutive MLS victories, while the Crew enter on the back of statement wins against Charlotte FC and San Jose Earthquakes.
This meeting pits the conference's second-place Union (22 points) against the table-topping Crew (24 points) in what promises to be a tactical battle between two legitimate MLS Cup contenders.
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew matchup, our predictive model gives the Crew a 55% chance of defeating the Union.
Columbus Crew: 55% win probability
- League-leading position (Currently 1st with 24 points after 11 games)
- Exceptional form (Won 4 of their last 5 matches with WWLWW form)
- Defensive solidity (Just 10 goals conceded in 11 matches, tied for best in the league)
Philadelphia Union: 45% win probability
- Recent defensive vulnerability (Recent form WWWLD shows inconsistency)
- Home performance concerns (Recent loss and draw suggest drop in home advantage)
- Goal conversion efficiency (21 goals scored from likely more chances than Columbus's 18, suggesting some wastefulness)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew odds
Here are the current odds as the Philadelphia Union host the Columbus Crew in MLS action on Saturday, May 10.
| Philadelphia Union | Columbus Crew | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +145 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +200 (via bet365 US) | 240 ( via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew preview
Philadelphia Union host Columbus Crew in a high-stakes Eastern Conference clash between two sides riding waves of impressive form.
Jim Curtin's Union have been nearly flawless lately, stringing together four consecutive wins across all competitions, including back-to-back 3-0 home drubbings of DC United and Atlanta.
The visiting Crew, sitting atop the Eastern Conference standings with 24 points, have shown their offensive firepower with a 4-2 dismantling of Charlotte last weekend—their fifth win in six matches.
Recent history favors Columbus, who've won three of the last six meetings including a 3-1 Leagues Cup triumph last August.
Keep an eye on young Crew forward Aziel Jackson, who's been electric in the final third, registering two shots on target and scoring in last week's victory.
With Philadelphia's rock-solid home form (unbeaten in their last four at Subaru Park) colliding with Columbus's confident road performances, this showdown between Eastern Conference heavyweights promises to deliver championship-caliber soccer.
Key stats
- 1Columbus Crew (1st) and Philadelphia Union (2nd) are separated by just two points at the top of the standings.
- 2Both teams have identical win records (7 each), but Columbus has two fewer losses (1 vs 3) with more draws.
- 3Philadelphia Union have the league's best attack with 21 goals scored in 11 matches, while Columbus has netted 18.
- 4Both teams are in excellent form with Columbus on a WWLWW run and Philadelphia showing WWWLD in their last five matches.
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew form
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew head to head
Philadelphia Union
50%
Columbus Crew
50%
Oct 5, 2024
Columbus Crew
3 : 2
Philadelphia Union
Aug 28, 2024
Philadelphia Union
0 : 1
Columbus Crew
Sep 30, 2023
Columbus Crew
1 : 1
Philadelphia Union
Feb 26, 2023
Philadelphia Union
4 : 1
Columbus Crew
Jul 3, 2022
Columbus Crew
0 : 0
Philadelphia Union
Apr 9, 2022
Philadelphia Union
1 : 0
Columbus Crew
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