The Minnesota Timberwolves look to capitalize on their dominant Game 2 victory as they head to Chase Center with the series tied 1-1 against a struggling Golden State Warriors squad.
With the Timberwolves entering as 6-point favorites following their commanding 117-93 win, all eyes will be on Julius Randle who torched the Warriors with 24 points and 11 assists last time out.
Golden State must find answers quickly as they shot just 44.7% from the field and an abysmal 28.1% from three-point range in their previous matchup, putting immense pressure on Jonathan Kuminga to build on his efficient 18-point performance.
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 51.5% chance of defeating the Wolves.
Golden State Warriors: 51.5% win probability
- Superior offensive efficiency (9331 points scored vs Minnesota's 9372 despite playing same number of games)
- Better defensive record (9060 points against compared to Minnesota's 8962)
- Stronger home-court advantage (Warriors traditionally perform well at Chase Center, bolstering their slim statistical edge)
Minnesota Timberwolves: 48.5% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (WWWLW shows volatility in performance)
- Road game disadvantage (playing away from their home court where they've built much of their success)
- Slightly weaker overall record (49-33 compared to Warriors' 48-34, but trending downward)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves odds
Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the home team Golden State Warriors on Saturday, May 10.
| Golden State Warriors | Minnesota Timberwolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +200 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -205 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
Best NBA sportsbook promos
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves head to Chase Center with momentum after dismantling the Warriors 117-93 in Game 2, evening this Western Conference Semifinal series at one game apiece.
Golden State faces a critical moment at home where they'll need to address their alarming 20 turnovers from Game 2 while also finding answers for Julius Randle, who carved them up with 24 points and 11 assists.
Minnesota's defense has been suffocating, holding the normally efficient Warriors to just 28% from beyond the arc last game while converting at a blistering 43% clip themselves.
Jonathan Kuminga's efficient 18-point performance (8-of-11 shooting) stands as one of the few bright spots for a Warriors squad that needs more production across the board to overcome the 6-point spread.
The Timberwolves' balanced attack and defensive intensity have given them an edge so far, though Chase Center has historically been one of the league's most formidable home courts come playoff time.
Key stats
- 1The Timberwolves (6th in West) have won 3 of their last 4 games with a recent form of WWWLW
- 2The Warriors sit one position below Minnesota at 7th in the Western Conference with a 48-34 record
- 3Minnesota has a better point differential (+410) than Golden State (+271) across the season
- 4Warriors have struggled recently with a LWLWL form in their last five games compared to Minnesota's WWWLW
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves form
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves head to head
Golden State Warriors
100%
Minnesota Timberwolves
0%
May 9, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves
117 : 93
Golden State Warriors
May 7, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves
88 : 99
Golden State Warriors
Jan 16, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves
115 : 116
Golden State Warriors
Dec 22, 2024
Minnesota Timberwolves
103 : 113
Golden State Warriors
Dec 9, 2024
Golden State Warriors
114 : 106
Minnesota Timberwolves
Dec 7, 2024
Golden State Warriors
90 : 107
Minnesota Timberwolves
Betting on the NBA?
Sporting Post is your trusted source for NBA betting. We deliver expert NBA predictions, top NBA picks, and the latest NBA odds. Our detailed game analysis and real-time insights help you bet with confidence. Plus, we’ve reviewed and tested the best NBA betting sites to ensure you’re using safe and trusted online sportsbooks, the best betting apps, and betting sites.
