The Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars face off in a pivotal Game Three matchup that could swing momentum in this tightly contested Second Round series.
After splitting the first two games on Winnipeg's ice, the Stars return home looking to capitalize on their home advantage while the Jets aim to build on their commanding Game Two shutout performance.
All eyes will be on the goaltending battle between Connor Hellebuyck and Jake Oettinger as both netminders have been stellar despite the contrasting offensive outputs from their respective teams.
Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets matchup, our predictive model gives the Jets a 70% chance of defeating the Stars.
Pre-game probabilities
Winnipeg Jets
Moneyline
Win %
70%
30%
Dallas Stars
Winnipeg Jets: 70% win probability
- League-leading 116 points this season (Stars finished with 106 points)
- Outstanding goal differential of +86, significantly better than Dallas' +53
- Excellent recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 games (WLWWW) compared to Dallas' 5 straight losses
Dallas Stars: 30% win probability
- Struggling with terrible recent form, losing all 5 of their last games (LLLLL)
- Defense has allowed 224 goals this season (33 more than Winnipeg)
- Despite home-ice advantage, their recent losing streak suggests significant momentum issues
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Dallas Stars | Winnipeg Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets preview
The Stars return to American Airlines Center looking to seize control of this tightly contested second-round series after splitting the first two games in Winnipeg.
Connor Hellebuyck has been stellar for the Jets, stopping 42 of 45 shots faced including a shutout in Game Two that swung momentum in Winnipeg's favor.
Dallas needs its offensive firepower to reignite after being blanked last time out, despite netting 17 goals in their previous five playoff contests.
The Jets' top-line duo of Ehlers and Vilardi has been lethal, combining for three goals and two assists through the opening games.
Dallas defensemen Thomas Harley and Esa Lindell will need to limit Winnipeg's zone entries while helping Stars forwards Rantanen, Hintz and the struggling Johnston find their rhythm on home ice.
Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets form
Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets head to head
Dallas Stars
33%
Winnipeg Jets
67%
May 10, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 0
Dallas Stars
May 8, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
2 : 3
Dallas Stars
Apr 11, 2025
Dallas Stars
0 : 4
Winnipeg Jets
Mar 15, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 1
Dallas Stars
Dec 1, 2024
Dallas Stars
3 : 1
Winnipeg Jets
Nov 9, 2024
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 1
Dallas Stars
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