Stars vs Jets Prediction & Odds - 5/11/2025

Cameron Hough

Last Updated: 17 December, 2025

Stars vs Jets Prediction & Odds - 5/11/2025

The Winnipeg Jets and Dallas Stars face off in a pivotal Game Three matchup that could swing momentum in this tightly contested Second Round series.

After splitting the first two games on Winnipeg's ice, the Stars return home looking to capitalize on their home advantage while the Jets aim to build on their commanding Game Two shutout performance.

All eyes will be on the goaltending battle between Connor Hellebuyck and Jake Oettinger as both netminders have been stellar despite the contrasting offensive outputs from their respective teams.

Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets matchup, our predictive model gives the Jets a 70% chance of defeating the Stars.

Pre-game probabilities

Dallas Stars

Dallas Stars

Moneyline

Win %

30%

70%

Winnipeg Jets

Winnipeg Jets

Dallas Stars: 30% win probability

  • Struggling with terrible recent form, losing all 5 of their last games (LLLLL)
  • Defense has allowed 224 goals this season (33 more than Winnipeg)
  • Despite home-ice advantage, their recent losing streak suggests significant momentum issues

Winnipeg Jets: 70% win probability

  • League-leading 116 points this season (Stars finished with 106 points)
  • Outstanding goal differential of +86, significantly better than Dallas' +53
  • Excellent recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 games (WLWWW) compared to Dallas' 5 straight losses

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.

Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

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Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets preview

The Stars return to American Airlines Center looking to seize control of this tightly contested second-round series after splitting the first two games in Winnipeg.

Connor Hellebuyck has been stellar for the Jets, stopping 42 of 45 shots faced including a shutout in Game Two that swung momentum in Winnipeg's favor.

Dallas needs its offensive firepower to reignite after being blanked last time out, despite netting 17 goals in their previous five playoff contests.

The Jets' top-line duo of Ehlers and Vilardi has been lethal, combining for three goals and two assists through the opening games.

Dallas defensemen Thomas Harley and Esa Lindell will need to limit Winnipeg's zone entries while helping Stars forwards Rantanen, Hintz and the struggling Johnston find their rhythm on home ice.

Key stats

1

Winnipeg sits atop the Western Conference with 116 points, 10 points ahead of Dallas who ranks 3rd

2

The Jets have allowed the fewest goals against in the Western Conference (191), while Dallas has surrendered 224

3

Both teams are offensive powerhouses, each scoring 277 goals this season

4

Dallas comes in ice cold with five straight losses (LLLLL), while Winnipeg shows strong recent form (WLWWW)

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