The Carolina Hurricanes will look to take a commanding 3-1 series lead when they host the Washington Capitals in Game Four of their Second Round playoff matchup at Lenovo Center on Monday night.
With goaltender Frederik Andersen stopping 52 of 55 shots in the series and Carolina coming off a dominant 4-0 shutout in Game Three, the Capitals face mounting pressure to jumpstart an offense that has managed just four goals through three games.
Washington will need stars Alexander Ovechkin and Dylan Strome to break through against the Hurricanes' stifling defense that has controlled this low-scoring series.
Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington Capitals prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps a 62.67% chance of defeating the Canes.
Washington Capitals: 62.67% win probability
- League-leading 111 points (Finished 1st in Eastern Conference with 51 wins)
- Explosive offense (288 goals scored, 2nd most in East)
- Strong overall record (51-22-9 shows consistency throughout season)
Carolina Hurricanes: 37.33% win probability
- Poor recent form (1-3-1 in last five games shows declining momentum)
- Defensive inconsistency (233 goals against is middle of the pack for playoff teams)
- Home ice advantage hasn't translated to dominance (47-30-5 overall record is good but not elite)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington Capitals odds
Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Washington Capitals and the Carolina Hurricanes, with Carolina hosting at home on Monday, May 12.
| Carolina Hurricanes | Washington Capitals | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -235 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +200 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
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Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington Capitals preview
The Hurricanes have seized control of their second-round playoff series against Washington, carrying a 2-1 lead into Monday's pivotal Game 4 at Lenovo Center after Sunday's emphatic 4-0 shutout victory.
Carolina's suffocating defense has been the story of this series, with Frederik Andersen stopping 52 of 55 shots faced while the Hurricanes' blue line corps led by Jaccob Slavin and Dmitry Orlov has stifled Washington's usually potent attack.
The Capitals' offensive struggles are particularly concerning as Alexander Ovechkin and Dylan Strome—who combined for 73 goals in the regular season—have managed just one assist through three games.
Washington desperately needs their special teams to produce after going scoreless on the power play in Game 3, while Carolina converted twice with the man advantage.
Logan Thompson has kept the Capitals competitive with solid goaltending (82 saves on 89 shots), but Washington needs significant offensive improvement to avoid falling into a 3-1 series hole.
The home ice advantage could prove decisive for Carolina, who will look to build on their momentum and put a stranglehold on the series before heading back to Washington.
Key stats
- 1Washington sits atop the Eastern Conference with 111 points from 51 wins in 82 games
- 2Carolina ranks 4th in the East with 99 points, 12 fewer than Washington despite playing the same number of games
- 3The Capitals enter with stronger recent form (LWLLW) compared to Carolina's more inconsistent stretch (LLLWL)
- 4Washington maintains a +56 goal differential (288 GF, 232 GA) while Carolina has posted a +33 differential (266 GF, 233 GA)
Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington Capitals form
Carolina Hurricanes vs. Washington Capitals head to head
Carolina Hurricanes
50%
Washington Capitals
50%
May 10, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes
4 : 0
Washington Capitals
May 8, 2025
Washington Capitals
3 : 1
Carolina Hurricanes
May 6, 2025
Washington Capitals
1 : 2
Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 10, 2025
Washington Capitals
5 : 4
Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 2, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes
5 : 1
Washington Capitals
Dec 21, 2024
Washington Capitals
3 : 1
Carolina Hurricanes
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