The Boston Celtics look to build on their commanding Game 3 victory as they face the New York Knicks in a pivotal Game 4 showdown at Madison Square Garden on Monday night.
With the Knicks holding a 2-1 series lead, Boston's balanced attack led by Jayson Tatum and breakout sixth man Payton Pritchard aims to level the Eastern Conference Semifinal series after their 115-93 road win.
New York's cold shooting (just 20% from three-point range in Game 3) must improve behind Jalen Brunson if they hope to protect home court and avoid surrendering momentum in this increasingly tense playoff battle.
New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics matchup, our predictive model gives the Celtics a 63.75% chance of defeating the Knicks.
Pre-game probabilities
New York Knicks
Moneyline
Win %
36.25%
63.75%
Boston Celtics
New York Knicks: 36.25% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (WLLLW in last five games compared to Boston's WWLWW)
- Defensive vulnerability (allowed 9,158 points, significantly more than Boston's 8,787)
- Home court advantage mitigated by Boston's road strength (Celtics finished with the 2nd best overall record in the league at 61-21)
Boston Celtics: 63.75% win probability
- Elite defensive efficiency (fewest points allowed in the Eastern Conference with 8,787)
- Outstanding regular season record (61-21, 10 more wins than the Knicks)
- Balanced offensive attack (9,534 points scored, 4th highest in the Eastern Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.
Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
| New York Knicks | Boston Celtics | |
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| Moneyline |
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New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics preview
The Celtics breathed new life into their Eastern Conference semifinal hopes with a commanding 115-93 victory in Game 3, cutting the Knicks' series lead to 2-1 as the teams prepare for a pivotal Game 4 showdown at Madison Square Garden on Monday night.
Boston's offensive explosion came from an unexpected source as Sixth Man of the Year Payton Pritchard erupted for 23 points off the bench, including five three-pointers, while Jayson Tatum contributed a well-rounded 22 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.
The Knicks, who shot a frigid 20% from beyond the arc in Game 3, will need Jalen Brunson (27 points in the loss) and Karl-Anthony Towns (21 points, 15 rebounds) to regain their touch if they hope to prevent Boston from evening the series.
OG Anunoby's offensive disappearance—scoring just seven points combined over the last two contests—has become a significant concern for New York as they look to recapture the magic that helped them steal the first two games in Boston.
The pressure has dramatically shifted despite the Knicks still holding the series lead, as another Boston victory would not only erase home-court advantage but transform this into a best-of-three battle with two games at TD Garden.
With Kristaps Porzingis still limited (just 19 minutes off the bench in Game 3), look for Towns to continue attacking inside while Boston will aim to replicate their red-hot outside shooting after connecting on 20 of 40 three-point attempts in their statement win.
New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics form
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