NBA Best Bets Today: Expert NBA Betting Picks for 05/12/2025

The NBA playoffs kick into high gear today with two pivotal Game 4 showdowns that have sharps divided on where the value lies.The Celtics aim to even their series with the Knicks after finally finding their shooting touch (20-for-40 from three in Game 3), while the Curry-less Warriors look to overcome a 5.5-point spread against a Timberwolves team that's gone 9-3 in their last 12 playoff road games.Our expert analysis points to the Celtics-Knicks over (209) and potentially backing the underdog Warriors as today's smartest NBA bets. The total has gone over 210 points in all four regular season matchups between these teams, setting a clear pattern of high-scoring affairs when these Atlantic Division rivals clash.Boston's offense finally erupted in Game 3, knocking down an impressive 20 three-pointers on 50% shooting after struggling in the first two games of the series.The Knicks shot an ice-cold 20% from three-point range in Game 3, well below their regular season home average of 37.2%, suggesting they're due for positive regression in Game 4.Kristaps Porzingis coming off the bench rather than starting has reduced Boston's rim protection, allowing the Knicks to outscore Boston 48-34 in the paint in Game 3 - a trend that should continue.With Jalen Brunson finding more efficiency in Game 3 despite the loss and the Knicks likely to push pace early to avoid falling behind again, we should see the highest-scoring game of the series.","partner":{"name":"bet365 US","slug":"bet365-us","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/ims-uploads/uploads/2023/02/1676650744-le8qka4n0QGSVR12QJQ.png","primaryColor":"#126E51","squareLogo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2024/12/1734096567-image.png"}},{"id":"1b53948e-eef8-43cb-bf92-1d3df0df67b0","pickName":"Celtics -6.5","oddsValue":"-110","partnerId":"5119d589-a7be-4235-875a-aedd87d870c6","description":"Boston showed their championship pedigree in Game 3, dominating from the opening tip and leading by as many as 31 points in a must-win situation.The Celtics rediscovered their offensive identity by connecting on 20 of 40 three-point attempts, showing they can overcome the Knicks' defensive pressure when executing properly.New York's comebacks in Games 1 and 2 required massive effort to erase large deficits, suggesting their wins were somewhat fortunate rather than indicative of true dominance.The Celtics' balanced attack in Game 3 saw six players score in double figures, including a strong 23-point performance from Payton Pritchard off the bench, making their offense less predictable.With the series momentum shifting and Boston's confidence restored, the Celtics should continue their strong play and have historically performed well in playoff bounce-back situations.","partner":{"name":"bet365 US","slug":"bet365-us","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/ims-uploads/uploads/2023/02/1676650744-le8qka4n0QGSVR12QJQ.png","primaryColor":"#126E51","squareLogo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2024/12/1734096567-image.png"}}],"homeTeam":{"name":"Knicks","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2025/03/1741177972-team-logo-AAHK5PU3.png"},"awayTeam":{"name":"Celtics","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2025/03/1741177568-team-logo-7U1VPFML.png"},"venue":"Madison Square Garden, New York, NY","matchDate":{"value":"2025-05-12T23:30:00.000Z","timezone":"America/New_York"}},{"fixtureId":"PP74280S","id":"1ad1c946-33e5-44d4-852f-6350db99d0c2","picks":[{"id":"0bf8d0d5-3ff9-46d3-9f21-252e1c6d4bd0","pickName":"Warriors +5.5","oddsValue":"-110","partnerId":"","description":"Despite missing Steph Curry for most of this series, Golden State has remained competitive, nearly winning Game 3 before a controversial late call against Draymond Green changed momentum.The Timberwolves have been underwhelming considering their opponents' short-handed status, winning Game 2 comfortably but struggling through much of Games 1 and 3.Jimmy Butler and Buddy Hield have been exceptional for the Warriors, with Butler dropping 33 points in Game 3 and Hield shooting a blistering 13-for-25 from three-point range in this series.The Warriors' role players, particularly Brandin Podziemski (1-for-10 from the floor) and Draymond Green (just 2 points), are unlikely to perform as poorly as they did in Game 3.Home court advantage remains significant for Golden State, and with their backs against the wall facing a potential 3-1 deficit, expect a spirited effort from a veteran playoff team."}],"homeTeam":{"name":"Warriors","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2025/03/1741177699-team-logo-Z555N3KD.png"},"awayTeam":{"name":"Timberwolves","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2025/03/1741177999-team-logo-6PVSUN92.png"},"venue":"Chase Center, San Francisco, CA","matchDate":{"value":"2025-05-13T02:00:00.000Z","timezone":"America/New_York"}}]" tablefooter=" Best NBA sportsbook promos Betting on the NBA?Sporting Post is your trusted source for NBA betting. We deliver expert NBA predictions, top NBA picks, and the latest NBA odds. Our detailed game analysis and real-time insights help you bet with confidence. Plus, we’ve reviewed and tested the best NBA betting sites to ensure you’re using safe and trusted online sportsbooks, the best betting apps, and betting sites.

Game	Time	Pick
No available picks

NBA Best Bets Today: Expert NBA Betting Picks for 05/12/2025

NBA best bets

Best NBA sportsbook promos

Betting on the NBA?