The Dallas Stars look to take a commanding 3-1 series lead as they host the Winnipeg Jets in Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal matchup at American Airlines Center on Tuesday night.
After Dallas captured Game 3 with a convincing 5-goal performance led by Mikko Rantanen and Sam Steel, the Jets aim to even the series despite struggling defensively throughout the first three contests.
Both teams have shown offensive firepower with a combined 16 goals in the series so far, setting the stage for what could be another high-scoring affair in Dallas.
Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets prediction: who will win?
For today's Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets matchup, our predictive model gives the Jets a 53.33% chance of defeating the Stars.
Pre-game probabilities
Winnipeg Jets
Moneyline
Win %
53.33%
46.67%
Dallas Stars
Winnipeg Jets: 53.33% win probability
- League-leading 116 points (Best record in Western Conference)
- Stellar defensive play (Only 191 goals against, fewest in the West)
- Strong current momentum (WLWWW recent form)
Dallas Stars: 46.67% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLLL in last five games)
- Defensive vulnerability (224 goals against compared to Jets' 191)
- Momentum concerns (Currently on a five-game losing streak entering playoffs)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Dallas Stars | Winnipeg Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets preview
The Dallas Stars look to tighten their grip on the Western Conference semifinal series as they host the Winnipeg Jets for Game 4 at American Airlines Center, holding a 2-1 lead after a convincing 5-goal performance in Game 3.
The Stars' offensive firepower has been on full display throughout the series with Mikko Rantanen, Sam Steel, and Roope Hintz combining for five goals and seven assists, while goaltender Jake Oettinger has been solid between the pipes, stopping 73 of 80 shots faced.
Winnipeg's offense has shown flashes of brilliance, notching eight goals in the series with the trio of Nino Niederreiter, Gabriel Vilardi, and Nikolaj Ehlers leading the charge, but their defensive unit has struggled to contain Dallas's attack.
The Jets will lean heavily on Connor Hellebuyck to bounce back after a disappointing showing in Game 3, though the veteran netminder's .918 career save percentage suggests he's more than capable of stealing a road win.
Special teams could prove decisive with Winnipeg converting at an impressive 28.9% on the power play during the regular season, while Dallas has already capitalized on the man advantage in this series.
With both teams capable of lighting up the scoreboard, Tuesday's clash shapes up as a potential high-scoring affair that could swing momentum in this increasingly intense playoff matchup.
Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets form
Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets head to head
Dallas Stars
50%
Winnipeg Jets
50%
May 11, 2025
Dallas Stars
5 : 2
Winnipeg Jets
May 10, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 0
Dallas Stars
May 8, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
2 : 3
Dallas Stars
Apr 11, 2025
Dallas Stars
0 : 4
Winnipeg Jets
Mar 15, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 1
Dallas Stars
Dec 1, 2024
Dallas Stars
3 : 1
Winnipeg Jets
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