Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 5/14/2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves look to close out their Western Conference semifinal series against the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night at Target Center, where they enter as heavy 11.5-point favorites with Stephen Curry still sidelined by a hamstring injury.

Minnesota seized control with a dominant third-quarter performance in Game 4, riding strong offensive showings from Julius Randle (31 points) and Anthony Edwards (30 points) to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.

With the Warriors having lost three straight playoff games for the first time since the 2016 NBA Finals, Minnesota's elite defense and balanced scoring attack have them poised to advance to the conference finals.

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors preview

The Warriors face a daunting elimination game at Target Center on Wednesday night, trailing 3-1 in their Western Conference Semifinal series against a Timberwolves team that has seized complete control since Stephen Curry's Game 1 hamstring injury.

Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle have emerged as Minnesota's dynamic duo, combining for 61 points in Game 4's decisive win that featured a devastating 39-17 third quarter that turned a close contest into a rout.

Golden State's offense has sputtered without Curry, managing just 102.5 points per game in the playoffs, though Jonathan Kuminga has tried valiantly to fill the void with 23 points in their last outing.

Minnesota's elite defense, allowing just 100.1 points per game in the postseason, has systematically dismantled the Warriors' attack while Rudy Gobert continues anchoring the paint with over 10 rebounds per game.

The 11.5-point spread reflects both Curry's absence and the Timberwolves' dominance in the series, where they've outscored Golden State by 35 points during the 179 minutes Curry has been sidelined.

With their backs against the wall, the Warriors must find answers for Minnesota's third-quarter surges and Edwards' star power if they hope to extend their season beyond Wednesday night.

Key stats

1

The Timberwolves sit 6th in the Western Conference with a 49-33 record

2

Minnesota enters with better recent form (WWWLW) than Golden State (LWLWL)

3

Minnesota has a stronger defensive edge, allowing 8,962 points compared to Golden State's 9,060

4

The Warriors (48-34) sit just one spot behind Minnesota in the standings despite similar records

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