The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs will settle their intense Eastern Conference semifinal series in a winner-take-all Game 7 showdown at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, with a trip to the conference finals against the Hurricanes at stake.
After trading punches throughout a back-and-forth series that's featured dramatic momentum swings—from Toronto's early 2-0 series lead to Florida's three straight wins and the Leafs' gutsy Game 6 shutout victory—both teams face immense pressure in a matchup where recent history favors the Panthers (5-0 in Game 7s under coach Paul Maurice) while Toronto looks to snap a streak of six straight Game 7 defeats.
With Joseph Woll's stellar goaltending potentially giving Toronto an edge despite Florida's offensive firepower, this decisive Atlantic Division battle promises to deliver the dramatic conclusion worthy of a series that's already exceeded expectations.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers matchup, our predictive model gives the Panthers a 52.33% chance of defeating the Leafs.
Pre-game probabilities
Florida Panthers
Moneyline
Win %
52.33%
47.67%
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers: 52.33% win probability
- Impressive offensive production (252 goals scored, 5th most in Eastern Conference)
- Strong defensive performance (223 goals against, 4th best in Eastern Conference)
- Excellent momentum with LLWWW recent form showing significant improvement
Toronto Maple Leafs: 47.67% win probability
- Recent struggles against top-tier opponents despite perfect WWWWW form
- Higher goals against (231) compared to Panthers (223), indicating defensive vulnerabilities
- Historical playoff pressure in home games against Florida may impact performance
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Florida Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers preview
The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs face off in a winner-take-all Game 7 showdown at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, with a trip to the Eastern Conference Finals against the Hurricanes on the line.
Toronto forced this decisive matchup with a gritty 2-0 road victory in Game 6, where Joseph Woll's 22-save shutout silenced the defending champions and snapped Florida's three-game winning streak.
The series has been a rollercoaster – Toronto jumped to an early 2-0 lead before Florida roared back with three straight victories, including a 6-1 road thrashing in Game 5.
History looms large over this matchup, with the Maple Leafs desperate to snap a six-game Game 7 losing streak and reach their first conference finals in over two decades, while Panthers coach Paul Maurice brings a perfect 5-0 record in Game 7 situations.
Auston Matthews, who broke the scoreless deadlock in Game 6 with his third goal of the postseason, will need to deliver again for Toronto, while Florida will lean on Sergei Bobrovsky to bounce back from Friday's defeat.
The winner advances to face Carolina with their Stanley Cup dreams intact; the loser faces a long summer of what-ifs.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers form
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers head to head
Toronto Maple Leafs
50%
Florida Panthers
50%
May 17, 2025
Florida Panthers
0 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
May 14, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
1 : 6
Florida Panthers
May 11, 2025
Florida Panthers
2 : 0
Toronto Maple Leafs
May 9, 2025
Florida Panthers
5 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
May 7, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 3
Florida Panthers
May 6, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 4
Florida Panthers
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