The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars reignite their Western Conference rivalry in a highly anticipated Game One matchup that features last year's conference finalists going head-to-head once again.
Connor McDavid's red-hot Oilers squad, coming off back-to-back shutouts, brings their explosive offense (43 goals in 11 playoff games) into American Airlines Center where Jake Oettinger and the defensively stingy Stars (only 9 goals allowed in their last 4 games) await.
With Edmonton looking to replicate last year's six-game series victory and Dallas determined to leverage home ice advantage, this opener sets the stage for what promises to be an electrifying Western Conference Final.
Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction: who will win?
For today's Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 66% chance of defeating the Oilers.
Dallas Stars: 66% win probability
- Higher points total (106 points vs 101 points for Edmonton)
- Home ice advantage (finished 3rd in Western Conference)
- Better defensive record (224 goals against compared to Edmonton's 236)
Edmonton Oilers: 34% win probability
- Poor recent form (WLWWW vs Dallas' LLLLL suggests inconsistency)
- Road game disadvantage (6th in Western Conference)
- Defensive vulnerability (236 goals against, 12 more than Dallas)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers odds
Here are the latest odds for the NHL showdown between the Edmonton Oilers and the Dallas Stars, with Dallas hosting on Wednesday, May 21.
| Dallas Stars | Edmonton Oilers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 (via bet365 US) | +110 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
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Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers preview
The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars renew their high-stakes Western Conference rivalry in a rematch of last year's conference final that saw Edmonton triumph in six games.
The Oilers arrive in Dallas riding the momentum of back-to-back shutouts, with Stuart Skinner standing tall between the pipes and the lethal duo of McDavid and Draisaitl already combining for a staggering 33 points this postseason.
Dallas counters with Jake Oettinger's stellar .912 save percentage and a defense that's surrendered just nine goals in their last four playoff contests.
While the Stars' offense has struggled to find consistent production beyond Rantanen, Johnston, and Hintz, their defensive core led by Harley and Lindell has been exceptional at neutralizing opposing attacks.
This matchup pits Edmonton's explosive offense (43 goals in 11 playoff games) against Dallas' suffocating defense in what promises to be a tactical chess match at American Airlines Center.
With both goaltenders coming in hot and defenses tightening up as the stakes rise, Game 1 could very well come down to which team's stars can break through in critical moments.
Key stats
- 1Dallas Stars sit 3rd in the Western Conference with 106 points despite a concerning 5-game losing streak (LLLLL)
- 2Edmonton Oilers hold 6th place in the West with 101 points, showing strong recent form (WLWWW)
- 3Dallas has a superior goal differential (+53) compared to Edmonton's (+23)
- 4Both teams possess identical offensive production with 277 goals scored, though Dallas has conceded fewer goals (224 vs 236)
Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers form
Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers head to head
Dallas Stars
33%
Edmonton Oilers
67%
Mar 27, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
3 : 4
Dallas Stars
Mar 9, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 4
Dallas Stars
Oct 19, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 1
Edmonton Oilers
Jun 3, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
2 : 1
Dallas Stars
Jun 1, 2024
Dallas Stars
1 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
May 30, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 2
Dallas Stars
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