MLS Best Bets Today: Expert MLS Betting Picks for 05/24/2025

San Diego FC looks like the strongest play of the day against LA Galaxy, with Dimers' model giving them a compelling 61% win probability and a significant 4.5% edge at current odds. This moneyline bet at -130 represents strong value despite being the favorite on the road.

The Galaxy have been inconsistent this season, while San Diego has shown the defensive discipline and finishing quality needed to pick up road wins. What makes this bet particularly appealing is the model's high confidence level, making it the top recommendation across multiple betting systems.

While taking road favorites in MLS can be risky, San Diego's current form and matchup advantages justify the play. Their disciplined approach should allow them to control the tempo against a Galaxy side that has struggled to maintain consistent defensive shape.

The timing of this afternoon fixture (4:45 PM ET) also works in San Diego's favor, as they've performed well in similar situations this season. With multiple analytics models pointing in the same direction, this bet stands out as having both high probability and strong value.

Bettors should lock this in at BetMGM's -130 price point, as the line could move further as game time approaches. The 4.5% edge identified in the model suggests this line hasn't properly accounted for San Diego's true win probability.

LAFC hosting Montreal presents a prime opportunity for goals from both sides, making the BTTS-Yes wager particularly appealing. Football Whispers highlighted a similar play in their LAFC match recommendation, noting that coach Steven Cherundolo will likely rotate his squad after CONCACAF Champions League exertions.

Despite potential rotation, LAFC remains a formidable attacking force at BMO Stadium, where home support consistently drives them forward. Meanwhile, Montreal brings enough offensive quality to find the net at least once against a potentially reshuffled LAFC defense.

The fatigue factor for LAFC can't be overlooked, as their demanding schedule means defensive concentration could slip even if they control possession. Montreal should find opportunities to counter effectively and capitalize on any lapses in LAFC's defensive structure.

Historical scoring patterns support this bet as well, with both teams showing they can consistently find the net in their respective matches this season. Even with rotation, LAFC's depth ensures they maintain attacking threat throughout their lineup.

The value at current odds makes this an even more attractive proposition, especially considering the timing of the match and LAFC's schedule congestion. This bet combines solid probability with strong value based on the current matchup circumstances.

Christian Benteke has been in remarkable form, carrying his Golden Boot winning momentum from last season into 2025 with four goals and an assist in six MLS games. The Belgian striker poses a significant threat against a New York Red Bulls defense that has shown vulnerability to physical center forwards.

Football Whispers specifically highlighted Benteke as one of their top picks, noting how he outscored even Messi and Suarez in the 2024 campaign. His clinical finishing and aerial dominance make him a constant threat, especially in home fixtures where DC United tends to create more quality chances.

DC United's tactical approach funnels attacks through Benteke, positioning him to receive quality service in dangerous areas. The striker's veteran savvy allows him to find pockets of space even against organized defenses, and his finishing touch has been remarkably efficient this season.

The Red Bulls' high-pressing style often leaves space behind their defensive line that Benteke can exploit. His combination of size, strength and surprising mobility makes him particularly dangerous against teams that commit numbers forward, as the Red Bulls typically do.

At +150 odds, this proposition offers excellent value given Benteke's consistent goal-scoring record and central role in DC United's attack. His proven ability to deliver in high-leverage moments makes him one of the most reliable anytime scorer options on the MLS slate.