The New York Knicks have injected new life into the Eastern Conference Finals after their gutsy 106-100 comeback victory trimmed the Indiana Pacers' series lead to 2-1.
With Game 4 set for Tuesday night at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, the Knicks aim to level the series behind Karl-Anthony Towns, who exploded for 20 fourth-quarter points in Game 3.
The Pacers, who squandered a 20-point lead on Sunday, must rediscover their three-point shooting touch after an uncharacteristic 5-for-25 performance beyond the arc if they hope to take a commanding 3-1 series advantage.
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Knicks a 52.5% chance of defeating the Pacers.
New York Knicks: 52.5% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (9158 points allowed vs Pacers' 9441)
- Higher regular season winning percentage (51-31 record, 3rd in East)
- More consistent performance with less volatility (balanced point differential of +336)
Indiana Pacers: 47.5% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (9441 points allowed, significantly higher than Knicks)
- Less successful overall record (50-32 compared to Knicks' 51-31)
- Inconsistent defensive performance (183 more points allowed than scored by opponents)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks odds
Here are the latest odds for the NBA showdown between the New York Knicks and the home team Indiana Pacers on Tuesday, May 27.
| Indiana Pacers | New York Knicks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -130 (via bet365 US) | +118 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Best NBA sportsbook promos
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks preview
The Knicks clawed their way back from a 20-point deficit in Game 3 to secure a crucial 106-100 victory, cutting the Pacers' series lead to 2-1 heading into Tuesday's pivotal Game 4 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Karl-Anthony Towns ignited New York's fourth-quarter comeback with 20 points in the final frame, finishing with 24 points and 15 rebounds while the Knicks held Indiana to a dismal 5-of-25 shooting from beyond the arc.
Both teams have made strategic adjustments, with New York inserting Mitchell Robinson into the starting lineup while moving Josh Hart to a sixth-man role that yielded 8 points and 10 rebounds in 34 minutes.
Indiana's ability to push the pace and rediscover their perimeter shooting will be crucial after the Pacers squandered what could have been a commanding 3-0 series lead.
Aaron Nesmith's ankle injury looms large over Tuesday's contest after the wing was limited to just 8 points in Game 3—well below his 20-point series average—though the Pacers have shown resilience all postseason, bouncing back with dominant wins following each of their previous playoff losses.
The razor-thin margins in this series—Game 3's six-point difference representing the largest victory margin so far—suggest another tightly contested battle as the Knicks look to even the series while the Pacers aim to take a 3-1 stranglehold before heading back to Madison Square Garden.
Key stats
- 1The Knicks sit 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a 51-31 record, slightly ahead of the Pacers
- 2Indiana (50-32) finished 4th in the East, just one game behind New York in the standings
- 3The Pacers enter with strong momentum, posting a 4-1 record (WLWWW) in their last five games
- 4New York has struggled with consistency lately, going 2-3 (WLLLW) in their most recent five outings
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks form
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks head to head
Indiana Pacers
67%
New York Knicks
33%
May 26, 2025
Indiana Pacers
100 : 106
New York Knicks
May 24, 2025
New York Knicks
109 : 114
Indiana Pacers
May 22, 2025
New York Knicks
135 : 138
Indiana Pacers
Feb 12, 2025
Indiana Pacers
115 : 128
New York Knicks
Nov 10, 2024
Indiana Pacers
132 : 121
New York Knicks
Oct 25, 2024
New York Knicks
123 : 98
Indiana Pacers
Betting on the NBA?
Sporting Post is your trusted source for NBA betting. We deliver expert NBA predictions, top NBA picks, and the latest NBA odds. Our detailed game analysis and real-time insights help you bet with confidence. Plus, we’ve reviewed and tested the best NBA betting sites to ensure you’re using safe and trusted online sportsbooks, the best betting apps, and betting sites.
