The New York Knicks face elimination for the second straight game as they head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse with the Indiana Pacers leading their Eastern Conference Finals series 3-2.
After Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns powered the Knicks to a crucial 111-94 home victory in Game 5, New York must now overcome their troubling 1-10 playoff record at Indiana's arena to force a decisive Game 7.
The Pacers, who haven't reached the NBA Finals since 2000, will look to bounce back from Tyrese Haliburton's uncharacteristic 8-point performance and recapture the high-octane offense that has made them the highest-scoring team in these playoffs.
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?
For today's Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Pacers a 58.33% chance of defeating the Knicks.
Pre-game probabilities
Indiana Pacers
Moneyline
Win %
58.33%
41.67%
New York Knicks
Indiana Pacers: 58.33% win probability
- Offensive firepower (9624 points scored, 4th highest in NBA)
- Excellent recent form (WLWWW, winning 4 of last 5 games)
- Home court advantage with identical win-loss record to Knicks (50-32)
New York Knicks: 41.67% win probability
- Struggling recent form (WLLLW, losing 3 of last 5 games)
- Road disadvantage despite similar season record
- Less efficient offense (9494 points scored vs Pacers' 9624, despite similar defensive numbers)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Indiana Pacers | New York Knicks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks preview
The Knicks have their backs firmly against the wall as they head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where they'll need another defensive masterclass to force a decisive Game 7 after keeping their season alive with a convincing 111-94 victory at MSG.
Indiana's high-octane offense—best in the playoffs at 117.4 points per game—was uncharacteristically held to just 40% shooting in Game 5, with star Tyrese Haliburton managing only eight points after his triple-double performance earlier in the series.
Jalen Brunson continues to carry New York's playoff hopes, dropping 31 points in their elimination-avoiding win, while Karl-Anthony Towns contributed a crucial 24-point, 13-rebound double-double.
The Pacers, who haven't lost consecutive games since early March, have dominated the Knicks historically at this venue, with New York losing 10 of their previous 11 playoff games in Indianapolis.
History looms large for both franchises—the Knicks attempting to become just the 14th team ever to overcome a 3-1 deficit, while Indiana looks to reach their first NBA Finals since 2000 when they ironically eliminated these same Knicks in six games.
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks form
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks head to head
Indiana Pacers
67%
New York Knicks
33%
May 30, 2025
New York Knicks
111 : 94
Indiana Pacers
May 28, 2025
Indiana Pacers
130 : 121
New York Knicks
May 26, 2025
Indiana Pacers
100 : 106
New York Knicks
May 24, 2025
New York Knicks
109 : 114
Indiana Pacers
May 22, 2025
New York Knicks
135 : 138
Indiana Pacers
Feb 12, 2025
Indiana Pacers
115 : 128
New York Knicks
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