St. Louis City will be desperate to snap their concerning three-game losing streak when they host San Jose Earthquakes in a critical MLS clash on Saturday evening.
The home side enters this fixture low on confidence following their midweek defeat to Colorado Rapids, while the Earthquakes aim to build momentum after their hard-fought 1-0 victory over Los Angeles Galaxy.
With manager Olof Mellberg considering lineup changes and San Jose showing significantly better form in recent weeks, this matchup presents a compelling contrast between a team searching for answers and one finding its rhythm.
St. Louis City vs. SJ Earthquakes prediction: who will win?
For today's St. Louis City vs SJ Earthquakes matchup, our predictive model gives the Earthquakes a 62% chance of defeating the City.
Pre-game probabilities
SJ Earthquakes
Moneyline
Win %
62%
38%
St. Louis City
SJ Earthquakes: 62% win probability
- Superior road performance (Based on their position in league standings which suggests better away form)
- Stronger defensive organization (SJ Earthquakes likely concede fewer goals per game compared to St. Louis)
- More clinical finishing in the final third (Higher conversion rate based on goals scored vs opportunities created)
St. Louis City: 38% win probability
- Struggling with defensive stability (Likely conceding more goals per game than league average)
- Limited attacking productivity (Fewer goals scored compared to top-performing teams)
- Poor recent form (Based on lower win probability and league position)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking..
| St. Louis City | SJ Earthquakes | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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St. Louis City vs. SJ Earthquakes preview
St Louis City enter Saturday's clash desperate to halt a concerning three-game losing streak that has seen confidence plummet following their midweek defeat to Colorado Rapids.
Manager Olof Mellberg looks set to shake things up with Celio Pompeu and Simon Becher both pushing for starts as the hosts search for answers to their recent slump.
The visiting Earthquakes, meanwhile, arrive at Energizer Park with momentum after grinding out a hard-fought 1-0 victory over rivals Los Angeles Galaxy.
San Jose's recent uptick in form stands in stark contrast to their struggling hosts, though they'll need to overcome several absences with Arango, Buck, Daniel, and Tsakiris all sidelined through injury.
Previous meetings between these Western Conference sides have typically produced goals, with a tense 1-1 stalemate the most likely outcome according to advanced match simulations.
The evening kickoff promises an intriguing tactical battle between two teams heading in opposite directions as the MLS season intensifies.
St. Louis City vs. SJ Earthquakes form
St. Louis City vs. SJ Earthquakes head to head
St. Louis City
67%
SJ Earthquakes
0%
Sep 22, 2024
SJ Earthquakes
1 : 2
St. Louis City
Jul 4, 2024
St. Louis City
2 : 0
SJ Earthquakes
Jun 25, 2023
SJ Earthquakes
1 : 2
St. Louis City
Mar 19, 2023
St. Louis City
3 : 0
SJ Earthquakes
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