The Florida Panthers hold the momentum with a 2-1 series lead as they host the Edmonton Oilers in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final at Amerant Bank Arena on Thursday night.
After dominating Game 3 with a commanding 6-1 victory, the Panthers aim to capitalize on home ice advantage behind Sergei Bobrovsky's stellar .928 save percentage in the series.
The Oilers, led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl who have combined for three goals and six assists in the series, desperately need their defense to step up if they hope to avoid falling into a 3-1 hole.
Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction: who will win?
For today's Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers matchup, our predictive model gives the Panthers a 52.33% chance of defeating the Oilers.
Florida Panthers: 52.33% win probability
- Strong home presence (5th in Eastern Conference with 98 points)
- Balanced offense and defense (252 goals scored while allowing 223)
- Building momentum (recent form LLWWW, winning 3 of last 5 games)
Edmonton Oilers: 47.67% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (236 goals against, 8th most in Western Conference)
- Inconsistent recent performance (WLWWW with alternating results)
- Road game disadvantage (6th place Western Conference team playing against 5th place Eastern Conference team)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Florida Panthers | Edmonton Oilers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers preview
The Florida Panthers will look to push the Edmonton Oilers to the brink of elimination as they host Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final on Thursday night, holding a 2-1 series lead after a dominant 6-1 victory in Game 3.
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have produced for Edmonton with three goals and six assists between them, but the Oilers' defense has collapsed, surrendering 14 goals through three games while Stuart Skinner has struggled with a porous .866 save percentage.
Panthers forwards Sam Bennett, Brad Marchand, and Carter Verhaeghe have terrorized Edmonton's defense with nine combined goals, while netminder Sergei Bobrovsky continues his stellar playoff run, stopping 116 of 125 shots in the series.
After Monday's humiliation that included 85 penalty minutes, the Oilers desperately need better discipline and defensive structure to avoid falling into a 3-1 hole from which few teams recover.
The Panthers' special teams could prove decisive again after converting three power play opportunities in Game 3, highlighting Edmonton's lack of composure when frustration sets in.
With Amerant Bank Arena rocking and momentum firmly on Florida's side, the Oilers face their most critical test of the postseason – respond now or watch their Cup dreams fade against a Panthers team firing on all cylinders.
Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers form
Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers head to head
Florida Panthers
67%
Edmonton Oilers
33%
Jun 10, 2025
Florida Panthers
6 : 1
Edmonton Oilers
Jun 7, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
4 : 5
Florida Panthers
Jun 5, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
4 : 3
Florida Panthers
Feb 28, 2025
Florida Panthers
4 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
Dec 17, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 6
Florida Panthers
Jun 22, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 1
Florida Panthers
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