Pacers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 6/13/2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder face a pivotal Game 4 against the Indiana Pacers on Friday night at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, looking to avoid a 3-1 series deficit after dropping Game 3 by a score of 116-107.

Despite their dominant 68-14 regular season record, the Thunder have struggled on the road this postseason, going 0-8 against the spread in away games while the Pacers have won nine of their last twelve playoff games as underdogs.

With Indiana's bench providing crucial scoring—including Bennedict Mathurin's 27-point performance off the pine in Game 3—and the Pacers outscoring Oklahoma City by 27 points in fourth quarters this series, this matchup represents a critical juncture for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder to regain momentum.

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Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder preview

The Pacers have seized momentum in the NBA Finals with a stunning 2-1 series lead against the heavily favored Thunder, setting up a pivotal Game 4 showdown at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday night.

Indiana's fourth-quarter dominance has been the storyline of this series, as they've outscored Oklahoma City by a staggering 27 points in the final frame across the first three games.

Bennedict Mathurin's explosive 27-point performance off the bench in Game 3 highlighted Indiana's depth advantage, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder continue to struggle with late-game execution.

The Thunder, who didn't lose consecutive games between April 6 and the start of these Finals, find themselves in unfamiliar territory as they try to avoid a 3-1 deficit that would require them to win three straight.

History favors the home team in this situation, as the Pacers are a perfect 3-0 in Game 4s this postseason and have gone 10-4 in their last 14 home games as underdogs.

With Jarace Walker still questionable with an ankle injury, Indiana will look to leverage their league-best three-point shooting (39.8%) against a Thunder defense that's been elite all season but has shown cracks in their road performances.

Key stats

1

Oklahoma City Thunder sits atop the Western Conference with a dominant 68-14 record, winning their last 4 of 5 games

2

Indiana Pacers hold the 4th position in the Eastern Conference with a 50-32 record, showing strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 games

3

Thunder boasts a significant scoring differential, averaging 120.5 points per game while allowing only 107.6 points per game

4

The Pacers have been an offensive powerhouse, scoring 117.4 points per game, but their defense has allowed 115.1 points per game

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