The Florida Panthers stand on the brink of capturing the Stanley Cup as they host the Edmonton Oilers in a pivotal Game 6 at Amerant Bank Arena, leading the series 3-2 after a commanding 5-2 victory in Edmonton.
With Sergei Bobrovsky's stellar .921 save percentage in his last 10 games and Sam Bennett's hot streak of 9 goals in that same span, the Panthers look poised to clinch on home ice where they've won 14 of their last 20 games.
The Oilers, despite their offensive firepower led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, face an uphill battle against a Panthers team that has dominated recent head-to-head matchups, winning 6 of their last 10 meetings.
Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction: who will win?
For today's Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers matchup, our predictive model gives the Panthers a 72.33% chance of defeating the Oilers.
Florida Panthers: 72.33% win probability
- Strong offensive output (252 goals scored, 5th in Eastern Conference)
- Solid defensive performance (223 goals against, 5th best in Eastern Conference)
- Excellent recent form (LLWWW, won 3 of last 5 games)
- Significant home ice advantage (5th in Eastern Conference with 98 points)
Edmonton Oilers: 27.67% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (236 goals against, ranking 9th in Western Conference)
- Inconsistent recent form (WLWWW, showing volatility in performance)
- Road game disadvantage (6th in Western Conference with 101 points, but historically struggles away from home)
- Goal differential concerns (+23, lower than Florida's +29 despite similar points)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
Florida Panthers | Edmonton Oilers | |
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Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers preview
The Panthers are one win away from hoisting the Stanley Cup as they host the Oilers in a potentially decisive Game 6 at Amerant Bank Arena, carrying momentum from their convincing 5-2 victory in Edmonton on Saturday night.
Florida has been lethal on home ice with 27 wins this season and will look to Brad Marchand, who netted twice in Game 5, alongside Sam Bennett, whose nine goals in the last ten games have provided crucial offensive firepower.
For Edmonton, the pressure falls squarely on superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to elevate their game and force a Game 7, though they'll need to crack Sergei Bobrovsky, who boasts an impressive .921 save percentage over his last ten appearances.
The goaltending battle could prove decisive with Florida's Bobrovsky (.907 save percentage this season) outperforming Edmonton's Stuart Skinner (.894) throughout this series.
While the Oilers have averaged 3.8 goals over their last ten games, they face a Panthers squad that has tightened defensively, allowing just 2.6 goals per game during that same stretch.
With six wins in their last ten meetings against Edmonton, the Panthers appear poised to close out the series on home ice, but the desperate Oilers—with their season on the line—shouldn't be counted out just yet.
Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers form


Florida Panthers vs. Edmonton Oilers head to head

Florida Panthers
67%

Edmonton Oilers
33%
Jun 15, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
2 : 5
Florida Panthers
Jun 13, 2025
Florida Panthers
4 : 5
Edmonton Oilers
Jun 10, 2025
Florida Panthers
6 : 1
Edmonton Oilers
Jun 7, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
4 : 5
Florida Panthers
Jun 5, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
4 : 3
Florida Panthers
Feb 28, 2025
Florida Panthers
4 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
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