MLS Best Bets Today: Expert MLS Betting Picks for 06/28/2025

Orlando City comes into this match as a strong road favorite against FC Cincinnati, with multiple expert sources showing confidence in their moneyline bet. According to Dimers' predictive model, Orlando has a 57.5% probability of winning this fixture, creating a significant 5.1% edge at the current odds.

Cincinnati has been struggling to find consistency this season, while Orlando appears to be hitting their stride at the right time. The Lions' tactical approach on the road has been particularly effective, allowing them to control matches and limit scoring opportunities from the opposition.

The value here is substantial, with -110 odds representing an implied probability of just over 52%, while analytics suggest Orlando's true win probability is closer to 58%. This discrepancy creates the betting edge that makes this play attractive.

This selection comes with strong backing from multiple expert sources, with Dimers ranking it as their highest probability play of the day. The moneyline play avoids the complications of handicaps or totals, offering a straightforward yet value-packed betting opportunity.

The fact that multiple expert sources converge on this play increases confidence, with Orlando's road form making them a solid bet to secure all three points in this Eastern Conference clash.

The New York Red Bulls hosting Minnesota United presents a strong home advantage opportunity that appears undervalued by oddsmakers. While not explicitly mentioned in the articles as a specific pick, the matchup analysis suggests favorable conditions for the Red Bulls.

New York has traditionally been strong at home, with their high-pressing style particularly effective in front of their supporters. Minnesota's road form has been inconsistent, making them vulnerable when traveling to difficult venues like Red Bull Arena.

Both expert sources highlight Minnesota vs. NY Red Bulls as one of the key fixtures of the day, indicating its betting significance. The Red Bulls' tactical approach matches up well against Minnesota's playing style, creating opportunities for the home side to control the match.

The value on the Red Bulls increases if they're able to establish their pressing game early, forcing Minnesota into uncomfortable positions and potential mistakes in their defensive third. Their ability to create chances through forced turnovers makes them dangerous throughout the match.

With solid defensive organization and opportunistic attacking, the Red Bulls present a good betting opportunity at home, where they typically perform at their best. The moneyline offers cleaner value than spread or total bets in this matchup.

New York City FC welcomes CF Montreal in what shapes up as a favorable home matchup. Though not explicitly highlighted in the expert picks, the fixture is mentioned as a key betting opportunity in the Dimers article.

NYCFC has historically performed well at home, where their technical style of play is complemented by familiar surroundings. Montreal has struggled with consistency on the road this season, making them vulnerable when traveling to face quality opposition.

The tactical matchup favors New York City, whose possession-based approach should allow them to control the tempo against Montreal's more reactive style. This control typically translates to scoring opportunities, especially at home where NYCFC's attack tends to be more fluid.

Both expert sources mention this as one of the day's key matchups, indicating its betting significance. The moneyline offers cleaner value than alternative markets, with NYCFC's home advantage not fully reflected in the current odds.

With solid technical players and tactical cohesion, NYCFC should be able to impose their game plan and secure a home victory. Their ability to dictate play through possession makes them a strong bet to take all three points.