San Jose Earthquakes look to maintain their playoff position as they host a struggling FC Dallas side in a high-stakes MLS Western Conference clash on Wednesday night at PayPal Park.
The Earthquakes, coming off a disappointing 4-1 loss to Minnesota United, aim to replicate their recent success against Dallas after defeating them 4-2 in their last meeting just three weeks ago.
With both teams ranking among the worst defensive sides in the Western Conference, fans can expect another goal-filled encounter as Dallas desperately tries to snap their four-match losing streak.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas prediction: who will win?
For tonight's San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas matchup, our predictive model gives the Quakes a 80% chance of defeating the Hoops.
San Jose Earthquakes: 80% win probability
- Explosive offense (42 goals scored, 2nd highest in the league)
- Strong home field advantage (8th place despite defensive struggles)
- Positive momentum (Recent form LDDWD shows they're hard to beat with just 1 loss in 5 games)
FC Dallas: 20% win probability
- Dismal recent form (LLLLW with 4 losses in their last 5 matches)
- Defensive vulnerability (39 goals conceded, 4th worst in the league)
- Poor road record (13th place with just 21 points from 21 games played)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking..
| San Jose Earthquakes | FC Dallas | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas preview
San Jose Earthquakes will be looking to capitalize on their recent 4-2 victory over FC Dallas when the teams meet again at PayPal Park on Wednesday night, with Bruce Arena's squad aiming to solidify their grip on the Western Conference's final playoff spot.
Both sides have been defensive nightmares this season, each conceding nearly 40 goals and averaging almost two goals allowed per match – making them among the leakiest defenses in the West alongside LA Galaxy.
Dallas arrives in dire form, riding a four-match losing streak that began with that high-scoring defeat to San Jose in late June, while the Earthquakes are winless in their last four but have shown resilience with several draws.
Cristian Arango and Josef Martínez will lead the San Jose attack against a Dallas side missing several key players including Paxton Pomykal, potentially giving the home side a significant edge in the final third.
The Earthquakes will be eager to bounce back from their disappointing 4-1 defeat to Minnesota United despite dominating possession, while Dallas hasn't won away from home since their 4-2 victory at Sporting Kansas City in mid-June.
Recent meetings between these sides have produced fireworks with 20 goals in their last six encounters, suggesting fans at PayPal Park could be in for another goal-fest on Wednesday night.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas form
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas head to head
San Jose Earthquakes
67%
FC Dallas
33%
Jun 26, 2025
FC Dallas
2 : 4
San Jose Earthquakes
Oct 3, 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 2
FC Dallas
Feb 25, 2024
FC Dallas
2 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Oct 8, 2023
FC Dallas
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
May 28, 2023
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 1
FC Dallas
Sep 18, 2022
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 1
FC Dallas
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