The Los Angeles Dodgers (60-43) bring MLB's highest-scoring offense to Fenway Park as they face the Boston Red Sox (55-49) in what promises to be a compelling interleague matchup on Friday night.
Emmet Sheehan (5-2 career record) takes the mound for the visiting Dodgers against Boston's Brayan Bello, with oddsmakers slightly favoring Los Angeles at -132 despite the Red Sox's home-field advantage.
Both teams bring contrasting strengths to this showdown – the Dodgers' powerful offense averaging 5.3 runs per game against Boston's more effective pitching staff that boasts a respectable 3.79 ERA compared to LA's 4.28 mark.
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers matchup, our predictive model gives the Dodgers a 61% chance of defeating the Sox.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 61% win probability
- Dominant road performance (14-6 in their last 20 away games)
- Elite pitching rotation (3.28 team ERA, 2nd best in MLB)
- Offensive firepower (5.4 runs per game, leading the National League)
Boston Red Sox: 39% win probability
- Struggling against NL opponents (4-11 interleague record this season)
- Bullpen inconsistency (4.52 relief ERA over last 14 games)
- Home field disadvantage (under .500 at Fenway Park in last 25 games)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Boston Red Sox | Los Angeles Dodgers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers preview
The Red Sox and Dodgers renew their historic interleague rivalry at Fenway Park tonight, with Boston looking to chip away at LA's impressive 60-43 season record.
Los Angeles brings MLB's top-scoring offense (5.3 runs per game) to face a Red Sox team that's been quietly efficient at the plate themselves, ranking fifth in runs scored.
All eyes will be on the pitching matchup between Dodgers' Emmet Sheehan (5-2 career record) and Boston's Brayan Bello, who brings his 4.18 career ERA into a challenging assignment against LA's powerful lineup.
The Dodgers' bullpen has been a strength with 30 saves and a league-leading 76 holds, though their team ERA of 4.28 ranks just 23rd in baseball.
Boston's defense could be a vulnerability, as they rank 29th in fielding percentage, potentially giving the opportunistic Dodgers extra chances in what promises to be an entertaining Friday night showdown.
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers form
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers head to head
Boston Red Sox
17%
Los Angeles Dodgers
83%
Jul 21, 2024
Los Angeles Dodgers
9 : 6
Boston Red Sox
Jul 20, 2024
Los Angeles Dodgers
7 : 6
Boston Red Sox
Jul 20, 2024
Los Angeles Dodgers
4 : 1
Boston Red Sox
Aug 27, 2023
Boston Red Sox
4 : 7
Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 26, 2023
Boston Red Sox
8 : 5
Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 25, 2023
Boston Red Sox
4 : 7
Los Angeles Dodgers
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