The Seattle Mariners (-128) look to strengthen their playoff positioning when they face the struggling Los Angeles Angels (+106) at Angel Stadium on Friday night with Bryan Woo taking the mound against Jose Soriano.
The Mariners bring a more potent offense to the table, scoring 4.6 runs per game (10th in MLB) compared to the Angels' 4.38 (15th), while also holding a significant edge in pitching with a 3.93 team ERA versus the Angels' concerning 4.67 mark.
Seattle's superior bullpen efficiency (55.8% save rate vs. Angels' 48.9%) could prove decisive in what profiles as a tightly contested divisional matchup.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners matchup, our predictive model gives the Mariners a 60.5% chance of defeating the Angels.
Seattle Mariners: 60.5% win probability
- Strong road performance (17-9 away record this season)
- Elite pitching staff (3.42 team ERA, 2nd in AL)
- Dominant in divisional matchups (12-4 vs. AL West opponents)
Los Angeles Angels: 39.5% win probability
- Struggling at home (11-15 at Angel Stadium)
- Bullpen issues (5.12 relief ERA, 3rd worst in MLB)
- Poor offensive production (4.1 runs per game, bottom 5 in AL)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Los Angeles Angels | Seattle Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners preview
The Seattle Mariners (54-48) head to Angel Stadium looking to strengthen their playoff position against a struggling Los Angeles Angels team (49-53) in Friday's AL West matchup.
Bryan Woo takes the mound for Seattle, bringing his impressive 3.25 career ERA against an Angels lineup that's been feast-or-famine this season with 149 homers but the second-most strikeouts in baseball.
The Mariners' balanced attack (4.6 runs per game, 10th in MLB) will face Jose Soriano, whose career 3.63 ERA belies his shaky 14-17 record and concerning 1.32 WHIP.
Seattle's bullpen could prove decisive with their 55.8% save rate significantly outperforming the Angels' league-bottom 48.9% conversion rate.
While the Mariners enter as modest favorites (-128), defensive metrics might tell the real story – Seattle ranks 8th in fielding percentage while the Angels sit near the bottom at 26th, potentially creating extra opportunities in what projects as a tight contest.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners form
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners head to head
Los Angeles Angels
33%
Seattle Mariners
67%
Jul 25, 2025
Los Angeles Angels
2 : 4
Seattle Mariners
Jun 8, 2025
Los Angeles Angels
2 : 3
Seattle Mariners
Jun 8, 2025
Los Angeles Angels
8 : 6
Seattle Mariners
Jun 7, 2025
Los Angeles Angels
5 : 4
Seattle Mariners
Apr 30, 2025
Seattle Mariners
9 : 3
Los Angeles Angels
Apr 30, 2025
Seattle Mariners
5 : 3
Los Angeles Angels
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