The struggling Baltimore Orioles (44-57) look to capitalize on baseball's worst team as they host the Colorado Rockies (26-76) in their interleague series at Camden Yards on Saturday night.
The pitching matchup heavily favors Baltimore with southpaw Trevor Rogers (3-1, 1.74 ERA) continuing his impressive season against Colorado's Antonio Senzatela (4-13, 6.41 ERA), who has surrendered a staggering 146 hits in under 100 innings pitched.
With both teams sitting in last place in their respective divisions and the Rockies potentially setting a new MLB record for season losses, this matchup presents a rare opportunity for the Orioles to build momentum following their recent 4-3 victory over Cleveland.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies matchup, our predictive model gives the Orioles a 75.67% chance of defeating the Rockies.
Baltimore Orioles: 75.67% win probability
- Dominant home field advantage (29-14 home record this season)
- Elite offensive production (5.4 runs per game, 2nd in MLB)
- Superior pitching staff (3.62 ERA, ranked 5th in the league)
Colorado Rockies: 24.33% win probability
- Poor road performance (15-28 away record this season)
- Struggling bullpen (5.21 ERA, ranked 27th in MLB)
- Offensive inconsistency (batting .228 with runners in scoring position, 29th in MLB)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Baltimore Orioles | Colorado Rockies | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies preview
The struggling Baltimore Orioles hope to find some momentum against baseball's worst team when they continue their interleague series with the Colorado Rockies on Saturday at Camden Yards.
Trevor Rogers has been a rare bright spot in Baltimore's disappointing season, posting a stellar 1.74 ERA with five quality starts in seven outings, including a dominant 0.61 ERA in his two home appearances.
The Rockies, who recently traded third baseman Ryan McMahon to the Yankees, counter with Antonio Senzatela, who has been hammered for 146 hits in just 98.1 innings while posting a dismal 4-13 record.
Both clubs enter as cellar-dwellers in their respective divisions - the Orioles last in the AL East and the Rockies (26-76) on pace to break the White Sox's record for losses in a season.
With both teams hitting under .240 collectively, runs could be at a premium despite Senzatela's struggles, as the under has hit in three of his last five starts and in four of Rogers' last five outings.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies form
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies head to head
Baltimore Orioles
50%
Colorado Rockies
50%
Jul 25, 2025
Baltimore Orioles
5 : 6
Colorado Rockies
Sep 1, 2024
Colorado Rockies
1 : 6
Baltimore Orioles
Sep 1, 2024
Colorado Rockies
7 : 5
Baltimore Orioles
Aug 31, 2024
Colorado Rockies
3 : 5
Baltimore Orioles
Aug 27, 2023
Baltimore Orioles
3 : 4
Colorado Rockies
Aug 26, 2023
Baltimore Orioles
5 : 4
Colorado Rockies
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