The Los Angeles Dodgers (61-43) head to Fenway Park for a marquee cross-league showdown against the Boston Red Sox (55-50) with the pitching matchup featuring the legendary Clayton Kershaw against breakout star Garrett Crochet, who boasts a dominant 2.19 ERA this season.
While the Dodgers lead MLB in runs per game (5.3) behind Shohei Ohtani's power surge, the Red Sox will counter with home field advantage where Crochet has been nearly untouchable with a 2.35 ERA across 57.1 innings.
Both teams sit in playoff contention as we approach the final stretch of the season, making Saturday's prime-time clash a potential October preview worth watching.
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers matchup, our predictive model gives the Dodgers a 54% chance of defeating the Sox.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 54% win probability
- Elite pitching rotation (Team ERA of 3.45, 2nd in MLB)
- Powerful offensive lineup (5.2 runs per game, leading the league)
- Road game dominance (24-11 away record, best in baseball)
Boston Red Sox: 46% win probability
- Bullpen inconsistency (4.22 relief ERA, ranked 18th in MLB)
- Struggles against left-handed pitching (.238 team average vs LHP)
- Home field disadvantage (18-22 at Fenway, below .500 at home)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Boston Red Sox | Los Angeles Dodgers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers preview
The Dodgers and Red Sox renew their storied World Series rivalry at Fenway Park Saturday night with a compelling pitching matchup that features the legendary Clayton Kershaw against breakout star Garrett Crochet.
Crochet has been nothing short of dominant this season, posting an 11-4 record with a microscopic 2.19 ERA while striking out 165 batters, making him a tough obstacle for the MLB-leading Dodgers offense that averages 5.3 runs per game.
Boston enters as surprising home favorites despite their recent struggles, partly due to Crochet's stellar home performance where he's maintained a 2.35 ERA across 57.1 innings at Fenway.
Kershaw, making his first career start against Boston, looks increasingly comfortable after returning from injury, sporting a 4-1 record with a 3.27 ERA in limited action this season.
The Dodgers' offensive firepower remains their calling card with Shohei Ohtani leading the charge (70 RBI) alongside Will Smith's league-second-best .325 batting average, while Boston counters with the red-hot Jarren Duran who leads the Sox with 106 hits.
Both clubs are eyeing this interleague clash as a potential turning point – Los Angeles trying to cement their status as National League frontrunners while Boston hopes to jumpstart a second-half surge after a sluggish restart following the All-Star break.
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers form
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers head to head
Boston Red Sox
17%
Los Angeles Dodgers
83%
Jul 25, 2025
Boston Red Sox
2 : 5
Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 21, 2024
Los Angeles Dodgers
9 : 6
Boston Red Sox
Jul 20, 2024
Los Angeles Dodgers
7 : 6
Boston Red Sox
Jul 20, 2024
Los Angeles Dodgers
4 : 1
Boston Red Sox
Aug 27, 2023
Boston Red Sox
4 : 7
Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 26, 2023
Boston Red Sox
8 : 5
Los Angeles Dodgers
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