The Cleveland Guardians (51-51) look to continue their hot streak as they face the Kansas City Royals (50-53) in the second game of Saturday's doubleheader at Kauffman Stadium, with Cleveland riding momentum from winning four consecutive series and five of their last six road games.
The pitching matchup features Tanner Bibee, who has dominated the Royals with 10.1 scoreless innings this season, against Kris Bubic, who brings an impressive 2.38 ERA into the contest despite historically struggling against Cleveland with a 5.18 career ERA against them.
With both teams fighting for wildcard contention - Cleveland just three games out and Kansas City four games back - this AL Central showdown carries significant playoff implications as the season approaches its final stretch.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction: who will win?
For today's Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians matchup, our predictive model gives the Guardians a 64% chance of defeating the Royals.
Kansas City Royals: 36% win probability
- Struggling home record (Only 17-23 at Kauffman Stadium)
- Offensive production issues (Bottom third in MLB with 4.12 runs per game)
- High strikeout rate (9.3 K/9, 5th worst in American League)
Cleveland Guardians: 64% win probability
- Strong road performance (Winning 58% of away games this season)
- Elite bullpen management (3.42 ERA from relievers, 4th best in AL)
- Defensive efficiency (Only 0.62 errors per game, league-best)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Kansas City Royals | Cleveland Guardians | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians preview
The Guardians and Royals square off in the second game of Saturday's doubleheader with both clubs desperately clinging to wild card hopes, separated by just a single game in the standings.
Cleveland enters on a scorching streak, having won four consecutive series and five of their last six road games, while Kansas City looks to build momentum after taking their series against the Cubs.
The pitching matchup features a fascinating contrast: Tanner Bibee, who has dominated the Royals with 10.1 scoreless innings this season but struggled elsewhere with a 5.91 ERA in July, against Kris Bubic, who sports an impressive 2.38 ERA on the year but historically struggles against Cleveland.
Jose Ramirez continues to power the Guardians' offense with a blistering 1.02 OPS in July, while Vinnie Pasquantino has been the Royals' primary run producer with 15 RBIs this month.
Despite ranking near the bottom of MLB in scoring, both offenses have shown recent signs of life—Cleveland averaging 5.6 runs over their last ten games and Kansas City plating 35 runs in their past six contests.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians form
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians head to head
Kansas City Royals
33%
Cleveland Guardians
67%
Apr 13, 2025
Cleveland Guardians
2 : 4
Kansas City Royals
Apr 12, 2025
Cleveland Guardians
6 : 3
Kansas City Royals
Apr 11, 2025
Cleveland Guardians
7 : 0
Kansas City Royals
Mar 30, 2025
Kansas City Royals
2 : 6
Cleveland Guardians
Mar 29, 2025
Kansas City Royals
4 : 3
Cleveland Guardians
Mar 27, 2025
Kansas City Royals
4 : 7
Cleveland Guardians
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