The Los Angeles Dodgers (60-43) look to snap their recent cold streak as they face a surging Cincinnati Reds (53-50) squad that's riding high after sweeping Tampa Bay in their last series.
Monday's matchup at Great American Ball Park features a compelling pitching duel between Dodgers ace Shohei Ohtani, whose 2.97 career ERA speaks volumes, against Reds rookie Chase Burns, who's still finding his footing in the majors with a 6.79 ERA.
With the Dodgers' league-leading offense (5.3 runs per game) facing Cincinnati's improving pitching staff (3.91 team ERA), bettors will find value on both sides of this compelling NL showdown.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers matchup, our predictive model gives the Dodgers a 54.67% chance of defeating the Reds.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 54.67% win probability
- Powerful offensive lineup (averaging 5.3 runs per game)
- Strong road performance (22-15 away record)
- Dominant starting rotation (3.42 combined ERA)
Cincinnati Reds: 45.33% win probability
- Struggling home performance (17-20 at Great American Ball Park)
- Bullpen inconsistency (4.65 relief ERA)
- Run production issues (averaging only 4.1 runs in last 15 games)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Dodgers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers preview
The struggling Dodgers limp into Great American Ball Park having lost six of their last nine games despite maintaining their grip atop the NL West standings.
Cincinnati, meanwhile, rides the momentum of a four-game winning streak after sweeping Tampa Bay in their previous series.
All eyes will be on the pitching matchup where Dodgers ace Yamamoto (8-7, 2.55 ERA) squares off against Reds rookie Chase Burns, who has struggled to find his footing in the majors with a 6.65 ERA across his first 21 innings.
The red-hot Elly De La Cruz continues powering Cincinnati's offense with 18 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers' potent attack with 38 homers and 71 RBIs.
Recent history favors Los Angeles at this venue, with the Dodgers covering the run line in nine of their last twelve visits to Cincinnati.
First-inning fireworks could be on the menu as the 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four night games between these teams at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers form
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers head to head
Cincinnati Reds
67%
Los Angeles Dodgers
33%
Mar 5, 2025
Los Angeles Dodgers
4 : 2
Cincinnati Reds
Feb 24, 2025
Cincinnati Reds
8 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 26, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
4 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 25, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
3 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 24, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
9 : 6
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 19, 2024
Los Angeles Dodgers
3 : 2
Cincinnati Reds
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