The Cleveland Guardians (51-51) look to bounce back from a disappointing series against Kansas City as they host the struggling Colorado Rockies (26-76) at Progressive Field on Monday night.
With the Rockies having lost 12 of their last 13 road games against American League opponents, Cleveland's Slade Cecconi (5-4, 3.76 ERA) has a prime opportunity to outshine Colorado's Bradley Blalock (1-2, 8.67 ERA) in what appears to be a lopsided pitching matchup.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies matchup, our predictive model gives the Guardians a 58.33% chance of defeating the Rockies.
Cleveland Guardians: 58.33% win probability
- Strong home field advantage (23-12 home record this season)
- Elite bullpen performance (3.21 ERA, 2nd best in American League)
- Superior run differential (+42 compared to Rockies' -65)
Colorado Rockies: 41.67% win probability
- Poor road performance (11-24 away record in 2024)
- Struggling starting rotation (5.47 ERA, worst in National League)
- Offensive inconsistency (batting .229 with RISP, 26th in MLB)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Cleveland Guardians | Colorado Rockies | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies preview
The struggling Rockies stumble into Progressive Field riding a two-game skid in which they've been outscored by an astonishing 22-1 margin, with Bradley Blalock (1-2, 8.67 ERA) tasked with stopping the bleeding against a Cleveland squad that's battling to stay relevant in the AL Central race.
While the Guardians haven't exactly been lighting up scoreboards themselves—ranking near the bottom of MLB in batting average (.225) and on-base percentage (.298)—they'll turn to the steady Slade Cecconi (5-4, 3.76 ERA), who's allowed two or fewer earned runs in three of his last four starts.
José Ramírez continues to be Cleveland's offensive catalyst, ranking 8th in MLB with a .298 batting average while contributing 21 homers and 56 RBIs for a Guardians team that's won six of their last seven night games following a loss.
The numbers paint a grim picture for Colorado's road prospects, having dropped 12 of their last 13 away games against American League opponents, though Hunter Goodman (18 HR, 57 RBI) and Mickey Moniak (16 HR, 40 RBI) provide what little offensive punch the Rockies can muster.
This pitching matchup heavily favors the home team, with Colorado's staff sporting the worst ERA in baseball (5.61) while Cleveland's hurlers have maintained a respectable 3.94 mark despite their offense's inconsistency.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies form
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies head to head
Cleveland Guardians
20%
Colorado Rockies
80%
Mar 13, 2025
Colorado Rockies
6 : 4
Cleveland Guardians
Feb 28, 2025
Cleveland Guardians
3 : 1
Colorado Rockies
May 30, 2024
Colorado Rockies
7 : 4
Cleveland Guardians
May 29, 2024
Colorado Rockies
7 : 13
Cleveland Guardians
May 27, 2024
Colorado Rockies
8 : 6
Cleveland Guardians
Mar 19, 2024
Colorado Rockies
8 : 8
Cleveland Guardians
Betting on the MLB?
Sporting Post is your trusted hub for MLB betting coverage. We break down expert MLB predictions and deliver today’s MLB best bets with clear, data-driven analysis. Want secure and reliable options? Explore our top picks for MLB betting sites.
Share this post
Related
