The Miami Marlins bring their red-hot offense to Busch Stadium as they open a crucial three-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals, with both teams desperately trying to climb back into the National League playoff picture.
Edward Cabrera (4-4, 3.48 ERA) takes the mound for the surging Marlins, who have won eight of their last ten, while the Cardinals counter with Andre Pallante (5-7, 4.91 ERA), who has struggled mightily with a 9.77 ERA over his last three starts.
This matchup could have significant wild card implications as Miami sits five games back of the final spot while St. Louis trails by just 2.5 games heading into Monday's showdown.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins matchup, our predictive model gives the Marlins a 64.33% chance of defeating the Cardinals.
Miami Marlins: 64.33% win probability
- Strong road performance (Limited information available)
- Pitching advantage (Based on season analysis)
- Momentum factor (Recent form suggests positive trajectory)
St. Louis Cardinals: 35.67% win probability
- Home field struggles (Below average home record this season)
- Offensive inconsistency (Batting statistics show vulnerability)
- Bullpen reliability issues (Late-game performance metrics indicate weakness)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| St. Louis Cardinals | Miami Marlins | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins preview
The surging Miami Marlins, winners of eight of their last ten games, look to continue their playoff push as they open a crucial three-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium Monday night.
Edward Cabrera (4-4, 3.48 ERA) takes the mound for Miami, bringing solid form and a sharp 92 strikeouts over 88 innings this season, while the struggling Andre Pallante (5-7, 4.91 ERA) aims to right the ship for St. Louis after posting a troubling 9.77 ERA across his last three starts.
Both clubs find themselves on the periphery of the National League wild card race – the Cardinals sitting 2.5 games back and the Marlins five games behind the final playoff spot.
Miami's offense has been particularly potent on the road, averaging nearly five runs per game away from home, with Xavier Edwards, Dane Myers, and Agustin Ramirez providing recent pop.
The Cardinals, hovering around .500 all season, will lean on their home-field advantage where they've limited opponents to 4.12 runs per game compared to 4.48 overall.
This opener sets the tone for a series with significant wild card implications as both teams attempt to gain ground in an increasingly tight National League playoff picture.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins form
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins head to head
St. Louis Cardinals
80%
Miami Marlins
20%
Mar 22, 2025
Miami Marlins
2 : 8
St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 18, 2025
St. Louis Cardinals
4 : 4
Miami Marlins
Mar 16, 2025
Miami Marlins
11 : 5
St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 11, 2025
St. Louis Cardinals
5 : 12
Miami Marlins
Mar 2, 2025
Miami Marlins
5 : 3
St. Louis Cardinals
Feb 27, 2025
St. Louis Cardinals
8 : 4
Miami Marlins
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