The struggling Baltimore Orioles (46-58) host the surging Toronto Blue Jays (63-42) at Camden Yards on Monday in a clash of AL East rivals heading in opposite directions.
Chris Bassitt (11-4, 3.88 ERA) takes the mound for the Blue Jays, who have won 8 of their last 10 games, while Zach Eflin (6-5, 5.78 ERA) gets the start for an Orioles squad that has dropped 7 of their last 10.
Despite the Blue Jays entering as favorites with baseball's best record, these teams have split their last 10 meetings evenly at 5-5, setting up an intriguing divisional matchup.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction: who will win?
For today's Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays matchup, our predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 62% chance of defeating the Orioles.
Toronto Blue Jays: 62% win probability
- Strong road performance (Winning at a 58% clip away from home this season)
- Dominant pitching staff (3.72 team ERA ranks 4th in the American League)
- Offensive efficiency (Blue Jays are batting .278 with runners in scoring position)
Baltimore Orioles: 38% win probability
- Struggling home record (Just 17-23 at Camden Yards this season)
- Bullpen inconsistency (4.88 relief ERA over their last 15 games)
- Hitting slump (Batting just .221 as a team over their last 10 games)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Baltimore Orioles | Toronto Blue Jays | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays preview
The surging Blue Jays bring their surprising MLB-best 63-42 record to Camden Yards for an AL East showdown against the slumping Orioles, who have dropped seven of their last ten contests.
Toronto sends veteran Chris Bassitt (11-4, 3.88 ERA) to the mound fresh off a strong outing against the Yankees, though his road splits (5.66 ERA) suggest potential vulnerability in Baltimore.
The Orioles counter with Zach Eflin, who despite his underwhelming season numbers (6-5, 5.78 ERA), limited Toronto to just one run in their previous matchup.
While Toronto's potent lineup featuring Bichette, Guerrero Jr., and Springer continues to produce, Baltimore's offense has gone cold lately, scoring just 29 runs across nine games before an 18-run outburst against Colorado.
With the season series deadlocked at 5-5, this matchup represents a critical opportunity for the free-falling Orioles to gain traction against a division rival that has surprisingly emerged as a legitimate contender.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays form
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays head to head
Baltimore Orioles
33%
Toronto Blue Jays
67%
Apr 13, 2025
Baltimore Orioles
6 : 7
Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 12, 2025
Baltimore Orioles
5 : 4
Toronto Blue Jays
Mar 30, 2025
Toronto Blue Jays
3 : 1
Baltimore Orioles
Mar 29, 2025
Toronto Blue Jays
5 : 9
Baltimore Orioles
Mar 28, 2025
Toronto Blue Jays
8 : 2
Baltimore Orioles
Mar 27, 2025
Toronto Blue Jays
2 : 12
Baltimore Orioles
Betting on the MLB?
Sporting Post is your trusted hub for MLB betting coverage. We break down expert MLB predictions and deliver today’s MLB best bets with clear, data-driven analysis. Want secure and reliable options? Explore our top picks for MLB betting sites.
Share this post
Related
