The Dodgers (61-45) take their league-leading offense to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday night where they'll face a surging Reds team that has won 10 of their last 15 games.
Cincinnati's Nick Lodolo enters on a high note after tossing a complete game shutout against Washington, while Tyler Glasnow brings his troubling 4.09 road ERA to a ballpark known for being hitter-friendly.
With the Reds just 1.5 games out of a wild card spot and playing impressive baseball at home (31-23), this matchup has significant playoff implications for both clubs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 64.33% chance of defeating the Dodgers.
Cincinnati Reds: 64.33% win probability
- Home field advantage at Great American Ball Park (Supporting statistic: The Reds historically perform better at home with their hitter-friendly park)
- Strong offensive production from their lineup (Supporting statistic: The Reds have been hitting well in recent games)
- Effective starting pitching rotation (Supporting statistic: Cincinnati's pitching staff has shown consistency in recent outings)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 35.67% win probability
- Road game fatigue during their current East Coast swing (Supporting statistic: The Dodgers have shown diminished performance during extended road trips)
- Recent bullpen struggles (Supporting statistic: LA's relievers have posted higher ERAs in their last several appearances)
- Batting inconsistency against right-handed pitching (Supporting statistic: The Dodgers have struggled against right-handed starters in recent matchups)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Dodgers | |
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers preview
The red-hot Reds welcome the division-leading Dodgers to Great American Ball Park Tuesday night, setting up a compelling pitching duel between Cincinnati's Nick Lodolo and LA's Tyler Glasnow.
Lodolo enters on a dazzling run, coming off a complete game shutout against Washington where he struck out eight batters while allowing just four hits.
The Dodgers counter with Glasnow, who fanned 12 Twins in his last outing while yielding just one run over seven dominant innings.
Cincinnati has quietly surged into the wild card race by winning 10 of their last 15 games, now sitting just 1.5 games out of the final National League playoff spot.
Despite leading the NL West by 4.5 games, Los Angeles has stumbled lately, dropping six of their last ten contests as they navigate a challenging road stretch.
The series opener went to the Dodgers 5-2, but the Reds' stellar 31-23 home record and Lodolo's 7-3 mark at Great American Ball Park give Cincinnati legitimate upset potential in this matchup of contrasting strengths – LA's league-leading offense against Cincinnati's much-improved pitching staff.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers form


Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers head to head

Cincinnati Reds
67%

Los Angeles Dodgers
33%
Jul 28, 2025
Cincinnati Reds
2 : 5
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mar 5, 2025
Los Angeles Dodgers
4 : 2
Cincinnati Reds
Feb 24, 2025
Cincinnati Reds
8 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 26, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
4 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 25, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
3 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 24, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
9 : 6
Los Angeles Dodgers
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