The struggling Colorado Rockies (27-78) will send promising young starter Tanner Gordon (3.13 ERA) to the mound as they face the Cleveland Guardians (52-53) in the second game of their three-game series at Progressive Field on Tuesday night.
The Guardians, who have lost four of their last five with Logan Allen (4.16 ERA) on the mound, will look to capitalize on their home field despite an underwhelming 25-25 record at Progressive Field this season.
With Colorado's league-worst record and Cleveland's renewed hope in the AL Central race after Detroit's recent slide, this interleague matchup presents intriguing value for bettors looking at the underdog Rockies and the under.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies matchup, our predictive model gives the Rockies a 58% chance of defeating the Guardians.
Colorado Rockies: 58% win probability
- Strong road performance (Road record showing consistent performance away from Coors Field)
- Offensive firepower (Team batting average and runs per game show potential for run production)
- Pitching depth advantage (Lower ERA and WHIP compared to Cleveland's current rotation)
Cleveland Guardians: 42% win probability
- Recent home struggles (Below .500 record at Progressive Field in last 10 games)
- Batting slump (Team OPS ranking in bottom third of AL over past 14 days)
- Bullpen fatigue (Relief pitchers averaging 4+ innings per game in recent series)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Cleveland Guardians | Colorado Rockies | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies preview
The Guardians hope to capitalize on Detroit's recent 12-game slide as they host the basement-dwelling Rockies in the middle game of their only series this season.
Cleveland (52-53) finds itself with renewed playoff hopes despite dropping two of three in Kansas City, while Colorado (27-78) limps in with the worst record in baseball - sitting a staggering 11.5 games behind the second-worst team.
Tuesday's pitching matchup features an intriguing contrast as Rockies starter Tanner Gordon (2-2, 3.13 ERA) brings an impressive 36-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio against Guardians lefty Logan Allen (6-9, 4.16 ERA), who has struggled with the team losing four of his last five starts.
Jose Ramirez continues to anchor Cleveland's offense with 21 homers and a .298 average that ranks 10th among qualified MLB hitters, while the Rockies will welcome back Hunter Goodman (.281, 18 HR, 57 RBI) after he sat out their recent 5-1 loss to Baltimore.
Progressive Field hasn't provided much home-field advantage for Cleveland this season as they've managed just a 25-25 record in their own ballpark, potentially giving the young Rockies squad a glimmer of hope despite their dismal campaign.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies form
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies head to head
Cleveland Guardians
20%
Colorado Rockies
80%
Mar 13, 2025
Colorado Rockies
6 : 4
Cleveland Guardians
Feb 28, 2025
Cleveland Guardians
3 : 1
Colorado Rockies
May 30, 2024
Colorado Rockies
7 : 4
Cleveland Guardians
May 29, 2024
Colorado Rockies
7 : 13
Cleveland Guardians
May 27, 2024
Colorado Rockies
8 : 6
Cleveland Guardians
Mar 19, 2024
Colorado Rockies
8 : 8
Cleveland Guardians
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