The Cincinnati Reds look to snap their two-game skid against the Dodgers as they send Nick Martinez to the mound against two-way superstar Shohei Ohtani in Wednesday's series finale at Great American Ball Park.
While Los Angeles aims for a series sweep behind their limited but dominant ace (1.50 ERA), Cincinnati's home advantage and Ohtani's expected pitch count restrictions could give the Reds (+132) legitimate upset potential.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 72.5% chance of defeating the Dodgers.
Cincinnati Reds: 72.5% win probability
- Strong home field advantage (9-2 in last 11 home games)
- Elite bullpen performance (2.85 ERA over the last 14 days)
- Dominant against NL West teams (7-1 record this season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 27.5% win probability
- Poor road performance (3-7 in last 10 road games)
- Struggling offense (hitting .221 over the last week)
- Pitching depth issues (5.42 ERA from starters in last 8 games)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Dodgers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers preview
The Dodgers aim to complete a series sweep at Great American Ball Park tonight after taking the first two contests, including Tuesday's come-from-behind 5-4 victory where they rallied from a two-run deficit.
All eyes will be on Shohei Ohtani as he makes his limited-workload start for Los Angeles against Cincinnati's Nick Martinez, creating a fascinating pitching matchup between the two-way superstar and the veteran right-hander.
Cincinnati's offense has cooled after their impressive sweep of Tampa Bay, managing just six hits in Tuesday's loss despite Elly De La Cruz continuing his breakout season with 18 homers and 68 RBIs.
The Reds' playoff hopes could hinge on reversing their fortunes at home, where they've typically been strong with a 31-24 record this season.
While the Dodgers boast MLB's second-ranked offense (5.2 runs per game) powered by Ohtani's 38 home runs, their bullpen vulnerabilities could give Cincinnati an opening once the starter exits.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers form
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers head to head
Cincinnati Reds
67%
Los Angeles Dodgers
33%
Jul 28, 2025
Cincinnati Reds
2 : 5
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mar 5, 2025
Los Angeles Dodgers
4 : 2
Cincinnati Reds
Feb 24, 2025
Cincinnati Reds
8 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 26, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
4 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 25, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
3 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
May 24, 2024
Cincinnati Reds
9 : 6
Los Angeles Dodgers
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