The struggling Houston Astros (60-47) look to snap their five-game losing streak as they host the Washington Nationals (44-62) at Daikin Park on Tuesday night in the second game of their three-game interleague series.
Michael Soroka (3-8, 4.85 ERA) takes the mound for Washington against a depleted Astros pitching staff that might opt for a bullpen day with Jason Alexander possibly getting the nod.
Despite Houston entering as -145 favorites, the Nationals' recent momentum—winning their last three games including Monday's opener against the Astros—makes this matchup more competitive than the records might suggest.
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals prediction: who will win?
For today's Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals matchup, our predictive model gives the Nationals a 51.67% chance of defeating the Astros.
Houston Astros: 48.33% win probability
- Recent home struggles (4-7 in their last 11 at Minute Maid Park)
- Batting slump against right-handed pitching (.221 team average in last two weeks)
- Defensive lapses (12 errors in their last 14 games, compared to league average of 8)
Washington Nationals: 51.67% win probability
- Strong road performance (8-3 in last 11 away games)
- Superior batting efficiency (hitting .267 as a team over their last 15 games)
- Excellent bullpen management (3.21 ERA from relievers in July)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Houston Astros | Washington Nationals | |
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| Moneyline |
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals preview
The struggling Astros, mired in a five-game losing streak despite leading the AL West, face the suddenly hot Nationals who arrive at Daikin Park with momentum after taking Monday's series opener 2-1.
Washington sends Michael Soroka (3-8, 4.85 ERA) to the mound, a pitcher who's been far better than his record indicates—allowing just four earned runs over his last 14.2 innings despite going 0-2 in that stretch.
Houston's injury-depleted rotation remains in shambles with eight starters on the IL, likely forcing them to turn to Jason Alexander, who was tagged for five runs on 11 hits in his last outing against Oakland.
The Nationals' post-All-Star break surge has been powered by James Wood (24 HRs, 70 RBIs) and a surprisingly effective bullpen that's posted a solid 3.28 ERA over their last nine games.
The Astros' offensive woes have reached critical levels, having scored just seven runs during their four-game sweep at the hands of Oakland—a troubling trend that continues despite Jose Altuve's consistent production (109 hits, 17 HRs).
With Washington having won their last three games and Houston dropping nine straight at home as favorites, this interleague matchup could provide another opportunity for the underdog Nationals to steal a game from the division-leading but vulnerable Astros.
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals form
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals head to head
Houston Astros
33%
Washington Nationals
67%
Jul 29, 2025
Houston Astros
1 : 2
Washington Nationals
Mar 23, 2025
Washington Nationals
6 : 8
Houston Astros
Mar 18, 2025
Houston Astros
3 : 4
Washington Nationals
Mar 12, 2025
Washington Nationals
9 : 3
Houston Astros
Mar 2, 2025
Houston Astros
3 : 4
Washington Nationals
Feb 26, 2025
Washington Nationals
0 : 3
Houston Astros
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