The Chicago Cubs (63-45) will host the struggling Baltimore Orioles (50-59) at Wrigley Field on Friday in a compelling interleague matchup featuring Cubs ace Cade Horton against Orioles veteran Trevor Rogers.
Chicago enters as heavy favorites (-182) riding MLB's most productive offense (5.28 runs per game), while Baltimore's pitching staff ranks near the bottom of the league with a concerning 4.89 ERA.
With the Cubs' stellar home field advantage and Baltimore's defensive woes, this contest presents a significant challenge for the visiting Orioles.
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction: who will win?
For today's Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles matchup, our predictive model gives the Cubs a 68.5% chance of defeating the Orioles.
Chicago Cubs: 68.5% win probability
- Explosive offense (570 runs scored, 2nd most in MLB)
- Strong overall record (63-45, 2nd in National League)
- Excellent recent form (WLLWW in last five games)
Baltimore Orioles: 31.5% win probability
- Poor run differential (-67, among bottom third in MLB)
- Struggling defense (549 runs allowed, 5th worst in American League)
- Last place in competitive AL East Division (50-59 record overall)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Chicago Cubs | Baltimore Orioles | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles preview
The red-hot Chicago Cubs welcome the struggling Baltimore Orioles to Wrigley Field on Friday in a compelling interleague matchup featuring two teams heading in opposite directions.
The Cubs have been lighting up scoreboards all season as MLB's top offense (5.28 runs per game) while riding their strong 63-45 record toward playoff contention.
Baltimore's pitching staff has been their Achilles' heel, ranking 27th in baseball with a bloated 4.89 ERA and surrendering 153 home runs on the season.
The pitching duel features Trevor Rogers for the Orioles against Cubs' promising youngster Cade Horton, who brings a solid 3.70 ERA into the contest.
Wrigley's friendly confines have been particularly kind to the Cubs this season, where their defense has converted balls in play to outs at the fifth-best rate in baseball.
The Cubs' offensive firepower and superior pitching depth make them considerable favorites, though Baltimore's power potential (136 home runs this season) means they're never truly out of any contest.
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles form
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles head to head
Chicago Cubs
67%
Baltimore Orioles
33%
Jul 11, 2024
Baltimore Orioles
0 : 8
Chicago Cubs
Jul 10, 2024
Baltimore Orioles
0 : 4
Chicago Cubs
Jul 9, 2024
Baltimore Orioles
2 : 9
Chicago Cubs
Jun 18, 2023
Chicago Cubs
3 : 6
Baltimore Orioles
Jun 17, 2023
Chicago Cubs
3 : 2
Baltimore Orioles
Jun 16, 2023
Chicago Cubs
10 : 3
Baltimore Orioles
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