The struggling Colorado Rockies (28-80) look to salvage some dignity as they host the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-62) at Coors Field on Friday, with the visitors entering as slight favorites (-122) despite their own disappointing season.
The pitching matchup features Andrew Heaney taking the mound for the Pirates against Colorado's Antonio Senzatela, with both hurlers looking to find form in the hitter-friendly confines of Denver.
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates matchup, our predictive model gives the Pirates a 64.5% chance of defeating the Rockies.
Colorado Rockies: 35.5% win probability
- League-worst record with only 28 wins in 108 games (.259 win percentage)
- Catastrophic run differential allowing 665 goals against while scoring just 388 (277 run deficit)
- Poor recent form with 3 losses in their last 5 games (LLWLL)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 64.5% win probability
- Recent momentum with a perfect 5-0 record in their last five games (WWWWW)
- Strong defensive efficiency allowing just 369 goals, the fewest in the National League (369 GA in 109 games)
- Significant improvement trajectory compared to division rivals (47-62 record vs Rockies' 28-80 record)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
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Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates preview
The struggling Colorado Rockies (28-80) face an uphill battle as they host the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-62) at the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field on Friday night, with Antonio Senzatela taking the mound against veteran lefty Andrew Heaney.
Both teams have suffered through disappointing seasons, with the Rockies' offense ranking 29th in runs scored while their pitching staff has surrendered a league-worst 5.65 ERA.
The Pirates haven't fared much better offensively, ranking dead last in MLB with just 3.4 runs per game despite their pitching staff posting a respectable 3.68 ERA (7th in baseball).
Pittsburgh's defense could prove to be a difference-maker, converting nearly 72% of balls in play into outs (2nd in MLB) compared to Colorado's league-worst 65.6% defensive efficiency.
Senzatela brings a concerning career 5.13 ERA into this matchup, having surrendered over 10 hits per nine innings throughout his major league tenure.
The thin mountain air of Coors Field typically produces high-scoring affairs, but with two of baseball's most anemic offenses squaring off, this could become a battle of which struggling lineup can take advantage of the park's dimensions.
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates form
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