The Miami Marlins (52-55) look to continue their recent momentum as they host the New York Yankees (60-49) in the middle game of their three-game interleague series at loanDepot Park on Saturday afternoon.
With Eury Perez (3-3, 3.07 ERA) taking the mound for Miami against Yankees rookie Cam Schlittler (1-1, 4.91 ERA), the pitching matchup heavily favors the home team despite New York's offensive firepower.
The Marlins have won six of their last eight games and aim to play spoiler against a Yankees squad fighting to gain ground in the competitive AL East race.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees matchup, our predictive model gives the Yankees a 60% chance of defeating the Marlins.
Miami Marlins: 40% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (512 runs allowed, 10th worst in the National League)
- Inconsistent home performance (53-55 record, only 10th in NL standings)
- Recent momentum issues (Despite WWWLL form, they sit 46 games behind division leaders)
New York Yankees: 60% win probability
- Powerful offense (576 runs scored, 2nd highest in the American League)
- Strong road performance (Currently 4th in AL standings with 60-50 record)
- Consistent winning streak (Recent form LWWWL shows 3 wins in last 5 games)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Miami Marlins | New York Yankees | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees preview
The Yankees and Marlins square off in South Beach Saturday afternoon with both teams looking to gain ground in their respective playoff pictures.
New York enters the contest riding a hot streak, having won four of their last five including Thursday's 7-4 victory over Tampa Bay, while Miami has quietly been one of baseball's better teams over the past two months with six wins in their last eight outings.
The pitching matchup features rookie Cam Schlittler making just his fourth career start for the Yankees against Marlins ace Eury Perez, who has been dominant since returning to the rotation with a sparkling 3.07 ERA this season.
The absence of Aaron Judge looms large for a Yankees offense that ranks third in MLB at 5.17 runs per game, potentially giving an edge to Miami in a game that bookmakers have surprisingly set with New York as heavy favorites.
LoanDepot Park has played as a pitcher-friendly venue all season with Marlins home games averaging just eight total runs, setting up an intriguing battle between Perez's electric stuff and a potent Yankees lineup.
The middle game of this three-game interleague set could prove pivotal for both teams' wild card aspirations, with Miami trying to close a seven-game gap and New York looking to solidify their position atop the AL wild card standings.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees form
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees head to head
Miami Marlins
50%
New York Yankees
50%
Aug 1, 2025
Miami Marlins
13 : 12
New York Yankees
Mar 25, 2025
Miami Marlins
4 : 2
New York Yankees
Apr 10, 2024
New York Yankees
2 : 5
Miami Marlins
Apr 9, 2024
New York Yankees
3 : 2
Miami Marlins
Apr 8, 2024
New York Yankees
7 : 0
Miami Marlins
Mar 4, 2024
Miami Marlins
2 : 3
New York Yankees
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