The red-hot Milwaukee Brewers, winners of 15 of their last 19 games, look to continue their dominance over the struggling Washington Nationals when Brandon Woodruff (2.01 ERA) faces Jake Irvin (4.69 ERA) at Nationals Park on Saturday.
Milwaukee brings their NL Central-leading momentum despite missing outfielder Jackson Chourio, while Washington desperately needs a win after dropping two of three in Houston and falling 17.5 games behind in the playoff race.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction: who will win?
For today's Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers matchup, our predictive model gives the Brewers a 85% chance of defeating the Nats.
Washington Nationals: 15% win probability
- Poor defensive performance (589 runs allowed, 2nd worst in MLB)
- Struggling recent form (LLLWW, lost 3 of last 5 games)
- Weak overall record (44-65, .404 winning percentage, 14th in NL)
Milwaukee Brewers: 85% win probability
- League-leading record (65-44, .596 winning percentage, 1st in NL)
- Excellent run prevention (431 runs allowed, 2nd best in NL)
- Outstanding recent form (WLWWW, winning 4 of last 5 games)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Washington Nationals | Milwaukee Brewers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers preview
The red-hot Brewers bring their NL Central momentum to the nation's capital, riding a 15-4 surge that's catapulted them past Chicago for division supremacy.
Brandon Woodruff continues his remarkable comeback tour with a perfect 4-0 team record in his starts and a microscopic 2.01 ERA, making him the perfect foil for Washington's fading playoff aspirations.
Milwaukee swept the Nationals in their mid-July series, though they'll be missing rookie standout Jackson Chourio's bat in Saturday's matchup.
Jake Irvin takes the hill for Washington, looking to build on consecutive quality starts despite the team's slide to second-last in the National League standings.
All-Star James Wood remains the lone bright spot in the Nationals' lineup with his 24 homers and 71 RBIs, but the task gets considerably tougher against Woodruff's remarkable 29:3 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
The contrast couldn't be starker: Milwaukee playing for October glory while Washington battles to avoid the NL basement in what shapes up as a classic pitching mismatch at Nationals Park.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers form
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers head to head
Washington Nationals
50%
Milwaukee Brewers
50%
Aug 1, 2025
Washington Nationals
9 : 16
Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 13, 2025
Milwaukee Brewers
8 : 1
Washington Nationals
Jul 12, 2025
Milwaukee Brewers
6 : 5
Washington Nationals
Jul 12, 2025
Milwaukee Brewers
8 : 3
Washington Nationals
Aug 4, 2024
Washington Nationals
4 : 3
Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 3, 2024
Washington Nationals
6 : 4
Milwaukee Brewers
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