The Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) host the St. Louis Cardinals (+125) at Dodger Stadium in a compelling Monday matchup featuring ace pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Sonny Gray on the mound.
While the Dodgers (63-46) enter as favorites with baseball's second-highest scoring offense (5.21 runs per game), the Cardinals (55-55) have quietly played solid baseball behind Gray's steady presence.
Our predictive models give Los Angeles a 62% win probability, though St. Louis offers intriguing value as underdogs with their strong bullpen efficiency and defensive fielding percentage.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals matchup, our predictive model gives the Cardinals a 54% chance of defeating the Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 46% win probability
- Defensive vulnerabilities (505 runs allowed, ranking in the bottom half of NL playoff contenders)
- Inconsistent recent performance (WLWLW pattern shows inability to string together consecutive wins)
- Home field advantage not as strong as expected (Win percentage of .580 doesn't translate to dominant home performance)
St. Louis Cardinals: 54% win probability
- Recent momentum with multiple players heating up (Recent form of LWLLL indicates some variability but potential upswing)
- Road performance exceeding expectations (56 wins despite defensive challenges shows resilience)
- Offensive firepower producing 495 runs on the season (Averaging 4.38 runs per game, showing consistent run production)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Los Angeles Dodgers | St. Louis Cardinals | |
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals preview
The Cardinals head to Dodger Stadium looking to improve their .500 record against a Dodgers squad that continues to flex its offensive muscle as the second-highest scoring team in baseball.
Monday's pitching matchup features veteran right-handers Sonny Gray and Tyler Glasnow, both bringing impressive career numbers to the mound despite contrasting team situations.
Los Angeles has been hammering the ball with 163 home runs and a robust .442 slugging percentage, while St. Louis has struggled to find consistency despite a respectable .250 team average.
The Dodgers' bullpen has been slightly more reliable with a 67.3% save percentage compared to the Cardinals' 65%, which could prove crucial in a close contest.
While the odds favor the home team, the Cardinals' solid fielding percentage (ranking 5th in MLB) gives them a defensive edge that could keep them competitive against the high-powered Dodgers lineup.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals form
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