The red-hot Milwaukee Brewers (67-44) bring their high-powered offense to Truist Park on Tuesday night for a clash with the struggling Atlanta Braves (47-63) in a matchup featuring stark contrasts in team performance.
Milwaukee enters on a tear, having won six of their last seven games behind MLB's second-best batting average (.257) and fourth-best team ERA (3.66), while Atlanta continues to search for consistency with their below-average offense that ranks 24th in runs scored.
All eyes will be on the pitching matchup between Brewers ace Freddy Peralta (12-5, 3.08 ERA) and Braves lefty Joey Wentz (2-2, 5.02 ERA) in what oddsmakers see as a clear advantage for the visiting NL Central leaders.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers matchup, our predictive model gives the Brewers a 55% chance of defeating the Braves.
Atlanta Braves: 45% win probability
- Poor recent form with just 2 wins in their last 5 games (LWLWL)
- Significant negative run differential (-24) with 462 runs scored vs 486 allowed
- Struggling overall record (47-64) placing them 13th in the National League
Milwaukee Brewers: 55% win probability
- League-leading 68 wins with an impressive .607 winning percentage
- Outstanding recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 games (WWWWL)
- Elite run prevention with only 437 runs allowed (best in NL)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Atlanta Braves | Milwaukee Brewers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers preview
The red-hot Brewers roll into Truist Park looking to extend their impressive run, having swept the Nationals and won six of their last seven games to maintain their two-game cushion atop the NL Central.
Atlanta, despite taking two of three from Cincinnati over the weekend, continues to struggle through a disappointing season that has them buried 15.5 games out of first place in the NL East.
Tuesday's pitching matchup features a stark contrast with Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta (12-5, 3.08 ERA) facing Atlanta's Joey Wentz (2-2, 5.02 ERA), though Wentz has shown recent improvement since being acquired from Minnesota.
The Brewers' offensive firepower—ranking second in batting average and fifth in runs scored—has been propelling their success despite missing several key players including Jackson Chourio.
Milwaukee will have to navigate these injuries as they're without eight pitchers and five position players, while Atlanta continues to feel the absence of superstar Ronald Acuña Jr.
With the total going over in each of Milwaukee's last six games, Tuesday's contest could feature plenty of offense despite the Brewers' normally reliable pitching staff.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers form
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers head to head
Atlanta Braves
50%
Milwaukee Brewers
50%
Aug 4, 2025
Atlanta Braves
1 : 3
Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 11, 2025
Milwaukee Brewers
2 : 6
Atlanta Braves
Jun 10, 2025
Milwaukee Brewers
4 : 1
Atlanta Braves
Jun 9, 2025
Milwaukee Brewers
1 : 7
Atlanta Braves
Aug 8, 2024
Atlanta Braves
7 : 16
Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 7, 2024
Atlanta Braves
5 : 8
Milwaukee Brewers
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